Dugout Study Hall

DSH 66 - MLB Draft Preview w/ LaMar Gibson

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Mon, 11 Jul 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - On The Farm's LaMar Gibson (@InsideFastball) joins Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk through the need-to-know info about the MLB Draft: how the major mechanics work, why it's so unpredictable, and which players are worth following regardless of where they land.

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Episode outline:

How is the MLB Draft different from other drafts?
Why do teams intentionally pass on good players?
"Moneyball," draft archetypes, and what's changed in the past two decades
Druw Jones: lock for first?
Termarr Johnson, Brooks Lee, and Kevin Parada: early names worth remembering
Kumar Rocker headlines a depleted pitching class

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DSH 65 - Former Pumpkins, Future Pumpkins?

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 1 Jul 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about summer, Pitcher Bot's Cameron Grove and some analysis around pitch usage, which pumpkins have been good and so much more! Please help us with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Episode Outline:

Summer plans
Pitcher Bot Tweets
- Teams getting better at having players throw their best pitches
- Which teams are better at developing pitching talent
Pumpkins who have been good (and will they go back to being pumpkins?)
- Tony Gonsolin
- Tyler Anderson
- Nick Pivetta

Note: Episode recorded on 06/29/22

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DSH 64 - Dazzlin' Rookie Debuts

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 24 Jun 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk a whole lot about rookies including rookie fWAR, rookie buy/sell, and much more! Please help us with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Episode Outline:

Warm-up: Oneil Cruz callup and major-league samples
- Opposite forces from CBA / Pandemic
- Have our expectations matched reality?
Number of the Week: 11.1 fWAR from rookie pitchers
- Why have this year's pitchers had less of an impact?
Case Study: Adapting on the fly
- Has Spencer Torkelson shown that he's learning through his tough year?
Rookie targets to believe in for redraft

Note: Episode recorded on 06/22/22

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DSH 63 - Intentional Walks + All-Stars

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 17 Jun 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about the validity of intentional walks, the absurdity of Tony La Russa, and way too early All-Star banter. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Episode Outline:

Warm-up: Intentional Walks
- When is it reasonable?
- Is it ever truly reasonable?
- What about in a 1-2 count?
Number of the Week: There is no actual number
- What 5 All-Stars from last year's teams are still actually good?
- Looking at fWAR
- Which of last year's All-Stars have been bad?
What impact can All-Star selection have on buy/sell in fantasy?

Note: Episode recorded on 06/15/22

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DSH 62 - Ready to Double Down? w/ Nate Schwartz

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 10 Jun 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) welcomes special guest Nate Schwartz (@_nateschwartz) to talk about differences between playoff probabilities from different sites, the Cardinals' recent history against Texas teams, and players who have forced them to change their minds so far this season. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Episode Outline:

Warm-up: Nate's recent work at PL and Cardinals fandom
Numbers of the Week: Comparing FanGraphs and Fivethirtyeight playoff probabilities
Case Study: what makes us change our minds, and who's made us think the most?

Note: Episode recorded on 06/08/22

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DSH 61 - One-Category Contributors

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 3 Jun 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about Camden Yards, Would it Dong?, hitters with the best K% and impact on wRC+, and when one-category contributors are worth rostering. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Episode Outline:

Warm-up: Looking at Would it Dong? and outlier home runs and "unicorns"
Numbers of the Week: Lowest K% among qualified hitters and the impact on wRC+
Alexander's Monkey-Paw All-Stars: When do one-category contributors merit being rostered?

Note: Episode recorded on 06/01/22

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DSH 60 - Puzzling Pitching Performances

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 27 May 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) briefly discuss the Tim Anderson/Josh Donaldson situation, look at pitchers with the highest and lowest BABIPs against, and dive into some pitchers who have not performed as we expected, especially some of the higher ADP guys. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

Tim Anderson/Josh Donalson situation (01:31)
Numbers of the Week: BABIPs against (13:10)
Interpreting BABIP (21:58)
Puzzling Pitchers (29:34)
- Good Stuff / Bad Results
- Just Bad
- Questionable Stuff / Good Results
Surprising Pitchers Doing Well (52:50)

Note: Episode recorded on 05/24/22

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DSH 59 - Establishing Player Dollar Values

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 20 May 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about some random baseball things on our minds, current FIP leaders and why that’s fun but doesn’t matter, and how to use (or not use) Fangraphs dollar-value calculators in-season. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

Our random baseball thoughts (02:38)
Numbers of the Week: FIP Leaders (12:12)
Fangraphs dollar-value calculators / projections (24:25)
- Carlos Correa
- Byron Buxton
How can we be smart about using dollar values given discrepancies? (28:18)
Are THE BAT X ROS broken because expected stats are broken? (31:22)
What's under the hood to help us know which projections make sense? (36:42)
Case Study: Christian Yelich (38:02)
Case Study: Alec Bohm (42:14)
Off the Books: Aaron Judge hates Camden Yards' new fence (53:46)

Note: Episode recorded on 05/18/22

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DSH 58 - Pitches, Dongs, and Balls

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 13 May 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) follow up on last episode's discussion of pitch location metrics, play a guessing game with wRC+ and MaxEV, and discuss more dead-ball impact on the normalization of certain metrics. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

Off the Books: Follow up on pitch location metrics (01:09)
Analytics: trying to win using math (09:33)
Does the dead ball make pitch location more or less important? (11:49)
Numbers of the Week: wRC+ and MaxEV leaders game (18:06)
Dead ball impact on parks (25:04)
Would it dong? (25:58)
Misshapen balls (34:31)
When can we trust certain metrics with the different balls? (37:39)
Is Josh Naylor for real? (47:42)
Talking about players (51:56)
- Andrew Vaughn, Joc Pederson, Gleyber Torres, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Alec Bohm, Christian Yelich
- Joey Gallo, Josh Donaldson, Joey Votto, Luke Voit, Akil Baddoo, Dylan Carlson, Ozzie Albies, Jose Altuve, Trent Grisham, Trevor Story

Note: Episode recorded on 05/11/22

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DSH 57 - Data and Modeling w Daniel Port

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 6 May 2022 12:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and Pitcher List's own Daniel Port (@DanielJPort) talk about some news and notes, pitch location metrics, and data modeling. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

Daniel's PitchCon 2022 Presentation

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Timestamps:

Meet Daniel Port! (01:21)
Off the Books: News and Notes (06:29)
- MadBum big mad over sticky stuff check
- Kelsie Whitmore makes history
- Aaron Judge: good guy
- Wainwright/Yadi make battery history
Daniel's OLR + Other Pitch Location Metrics (24:55)
Other Metrics and Data Modeling (51:15)
- Players mentioned: Merrill Kelly, Nestor Cortes Jr.
- Stats mentioned: ERA, AVG, OBP, wOBA, xBA, WAR,
- Correlation/Causation, Linear Models, Predictive/Baysian models

Note: Episode recorded on 05/05/22

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DSH 56 - Inconsistent Balls

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 29 Apr 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) share quick RazzSlam and TGFBI updates, talk about negative numbers with ERA estimators, and round out the rest of the episode talking about balls. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

Quick updates on RazzSlam + TGFBI (01:29)
Numbers of the Week: Negative Values on ERA Estimators (08:15)
Off the Books: New Balls and HBP (17:45)
Inconsistent Balls + Offense Suppression (27:54)
Is EV Down? (37:15)
Are Raised Seams the Problem? (43:20)
Players Being Impacted the Most (46:09)

Note: Episode recorded on 04/27/22

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DSH 55 - Numbers Under the Hood

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 22 Apr 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat about the Fangraphs pitch value metrics, play a guessing game, react to April, and so much more! Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

(02:29) Are Analytics Ruining the Enjoyment of the Game?
(16:27) Number of the Week: Metrics Under the Hood
(25:51) Would You Be Shocked if on May 31st…?
(26:21) Andrew Vaughn
(33:21) Kyle Tucker
(37:53) Connor Joe
(42:00) Steven Kwan
(47:17) Closers
(52:23) Off the Books: Are Intentional Walks Good?

Note: Episode recorded on 4/19/22

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DSH 54 - Pitch Values + April Epiphanies

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 15 Apr 2022 05:00:00 +0000

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Timestamps:

(1:58) Best storyline to start the year?
(11:07) Pass/Fail: Space City Unis?
(15:35) Number of the Week: Should we care about pVAL?
(30:20) When should we believe that Steven Kwan is real?
(41:22) A “what to care about” timeline.
(50:28) Looking ahead to the fun stuff.

Note: Episode recorded on 4/13/22

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DSH 53 - The State of Dynasty w/ Taylor Case

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 8 Apr 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat with Taylor Case (@TCasesLoaded) of The Dynasty Guru about dynasty leagues, young players breaking camp with their teams, evaluating minor league talent, and much more!

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Timestamps:

(6:46) How much do we love Julio Rodriguez? Let us count the ways
(15:42) Confidence in Torkelson’s floor
(20:19) Results vs Ceiling in Ranks
(27:45) Lowe and Lowe LLC
(33:37) Low-info challenges
(45:42) Post-prospect dynasty outlooks
(55:58) Underrated Bulk
(1:06:02) Thanks, Hooth and Casas’ swing choices

Note: Episode recorded on 4/06/22

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DSH 52 - Spring Training w/ Mike Kurland

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 1 Apr 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat with Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) about Spring Training takeaways and making sense of what matters and ignoring what doesn't.

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Timestamps:

(2:46) Welcome back, Mike!
(13:10) Pass/Fail: Are we the (April) Fools?
(18:07) Number of the Week: WHIP Chaos
(30:36) Spring Training smoke and fire
(51:30) Matt Asks: What’s up with this guy?
- Jo Adell
- Keston Hiura
- Francisco Lindor
- Eduardo Rodríguez
- MacKenzie Gore
- Jorge Mateo
(1:06:06) What else changes?

Note: Episode recorded on 3/29/22

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DSH 51 - Trades, Free Agents, and ADP

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 25 Mar 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) discuss all of the new information we have since the lockout ended and how it is, should be, or might be affecting ADP.

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Timestamps:

New rule impacts and debating the ghost runner (6:24)
Number of the week: $3.265B (18:24)
Where's the prospect helium now? (29:24)
Player movement: Location, Location, Location (41:35)
Injuries and other concerns (57:08)

Note: Episode recorded on 3/22/22

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DSH 50 - Talking Pitching w/ Nick Pollack

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 18 Mar 2022 05:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) celebrate our 50th pod-a-versary with none other than Pitcher List founder, creator, and all-around great dude, Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)! We talk about the DSH origin story, some hitting, the power of pitching stats, pitchers on the move and so much more!

Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

DSH origin story (02:09)
How Nick preps for drafting hitters (05:15)
Numbers of the Week: Nick's favorite pitching stats (12:31)
Which pitching stats are more noise than help? (17:30)
The new PL player pages being awesome (22:31)
Case Study: Freddy Peralta (28:23)
Pitchers on the move + institutional approach (35:44)
Home/Road splits are dumb (42:38)
Player projects, confidence intervals, range of outcomes, and predicting "if" (56:08)
Pass/Fail: Chris Sale and drafting injured pitchers (1:04:05)

Note: Episode recorded on 3/16/22

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DSH 49 - Podcasting + Drafting in a Lockout

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Sat, 12 Mar 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about podcasting during a lockout, do a deep-ish dive on our respective TGFBI squads by looking at the drafts in thirds, and squeeze in a little format discussion.

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Timestamps:

Podcasting and Talking Baseball in a Lockout (02:20)
Industry Drafts (08:14)
RazzSlam + TGFBI formats (10:33)
TGFBI Team Analysis: Picks 1-10 (12:41)
TGFBI Picks 11-20 (21:06)
TGFBI Picks 21-30 (34:18)
FantasyPros Grades (44:37)
Different Format Takeaways (47:34)

Note: Episode recorded on 3/09/22

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DSH 48 - Players Who Just Need a Chance

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 4 Mar 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat about our in-process TGFBI drafts, play a fun guessing game with our numbers of the week, talk about players with great under-the-hood numbers who just need an opportunity, and so much more!

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Timestamps:

Designated Survivor SOTU (01:33)
Slow Drafts (03:52)
TGFBI Drafts (09:33)
Numbers of the Week: A Guessing Game (29:09)
Players Who Just Need a Chance (38:25)
Off the Books: Media Literacy Around the CBA(1:01:24)

Note: Episode recorded on 3/1/22

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DSH 47 - Closers and Saves w/ Mike Carter

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 25 Feb 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk welcome Mike Carter (@mdrc0508) to talk a little RazzSlam and a lot about closers and saves for 2022.

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Timestamps:

Adjusting for RazzSlam Settings (8:30)
Do we even want closer in points? (18:15)
Numbers of the Week: Looking at closer scarcity and consistency (24:08)
Tiers and Fears (36:15)
Late dart preferences (48:45)
Bold-ish Predictions (53:52)
Off the Books: Post-hype sleepers (1:00:03)

Note: Episode recorded on 2/22/22

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DSH 46 - The Pitching Landscape for 2022

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 18 Feb 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about their TGFBI leagues (and league-mates), some draft strategy, the universal DH and its impact, the new PL7 player pages and how dope they are, and the pitching landscape ahead of 2022 drafts.

Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a REVIEW wherever you listen and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

What’s next about CSW%? (01:47)
TGFBI prep and Justin Turner love (6:30)
Pass/Fail: NL DH and its beneficiaries (13:12)
Numbers of the Week: PL Player Pages Deep Dive (25:41)
Approaches to Drafting Pitching (39:42)
Planting Some Flags (56:52)
What’s a top closer worth? (1:07:05)

Note: Episode recorded on 2/16/22

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DSH 45 - Live! @ PitchCon

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 11 Feb 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) make an appearance at PitchCon! The main idea is Alexander's re-imagining of CSW and all the ways we can use it in more meaningful ways. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a nice REVIEW and ENJOY!

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Timestamps:

Number of the week: Kevin Gausman’s Slider? (03:53)
Are called strikes a skill? (08:35)
The arguments for most-used stats (16:05)
Gausman’s slider explained and 0-0 counts (21:06)
Setting the standard for each count (26:53)
How pitching-to-contact breaks CSW% (30:24)
The fix: CSW/PA (35:40)
Testing CSW/PA and unexpected results (42:45)
Who benefits most? (46:24)
A special guest appears (53:35)

Note: Episode recorded on 1/28/22

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DSH 44 - TGFBI w/ Justin Mason

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 28 Jan 2022 06:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk with industry titan and bathing suit god Justin Mason (@JustinMasonFWFB) about TGFBI, NFBC, draft strategy, players, and much more. Help us out with a FIVE STAR RATING and a nice REVIEW!

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Timestamps:

Hey there Justin! (04:23)
Justin’s baseball connection (06:40)
Pass/Fail: Too many leagues? (11:40)
Work/Life/Fantasy Balance (15:04)
Who might be getting left behind in Fantasy? (26:36)
Gist of the criteria of TGFBI (33:42)
What is it like running a league of experts? (43:42)
What’s the craziest thing you’ve seen with TGFBI (46:41)
Is conventional wisdom about overalls wrong? (50:38)
TGFBI and overall strategy (1:00:27)
How can home league players separate signal from noise? (1:14:56)
Risers and fallers in this format (1:20:07)

Note: Episode recorded on 1/25/22

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DSH 43 - Regression in 2022

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 14 Jan 2022 11:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about regression, metrics that can help look for and identify it, and some player examples. Lots of Robbie Ray talk in this one.

Alex's Tableau

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Timestamps:

Weather Talk! (02:42)
Looking forward to in 2022 (04:32)
Pass/Fail: Rays split between Tampa and Montreal (10:32)
Number of the Week: Robbie Ray’s 2021 LOB% (25:06)
How do we know when regression will strike? (26:52)
Is strand rate meaningful? (34:30)
Nola and Ray LOB% Projection (42:02)
Other elements of regression to look out for (47:52)
3 Rapid Fire Questions (58:45)

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DSH 42 - Off Season Dynasty w/ Chris Clegg

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 31 Dec 2021 11:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) is joined by guest-host Van Burnett (@Van_verified) and special guest Chris Clegg (@RotoClegg) to talk about some off-season dynasty league stuff.

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Note: Episode recorded on 12/22.

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DSH 41 - Talking Ted Lasso w/ Christian Dashiell

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 17 Dec 2021 11:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk with Christian Dashiell (@DashTheTweeter) of Richmond Til We Die (a podcast about all things Ted Lasso) about BBQ, the Kansas City Royals, mental health, and, of course, Ted Lasso.

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Timestamps:

Different kinds of BBQ and Christian's favorites (02:35)
The @tedlassopod origin story (09:33)
What is the theme of Ted Lasso? (26:35)
Best and worst qualities of Ted the character (28:27)
The role of music (48:35)
The most and least realistic soccer things (58:35)

Note: Episode recorded on 12/13.

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DSH 40 - Early Season Drafting w/ Kevin Hasting

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 3 Dec 2021 11:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk with Pitcher List's own Kevin Hasting (@hastingkevin) about podcasting with Adam Howe (@EightyGrade), winning the TGFBI overall, NFBC early drafts, overall winners, players, the new CBA and more!

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Timestamps:

Picking Kevin’s brain (03:14)
On the Wire (05:51)
TGFBI and overall winners (07:40)
Pass/Fail: Flurry of activity (13:39)
The Texas Rangers (23:41)
Gausman + Ray + Gray (28:39)
Moran + Tsutsugo (33:34)
Early Drafting + NFBC (38:43)
Off the Books: New CBA (54:19)

Note: Episode recorded on 11/29

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DSH 39 - Steamer Projections w/ @BaseballPods

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 19 Nov 2021 11:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Chris from @BaseballPods joins expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk about all things baseball including the 2021 season, 2022 projections, players, the potential lockout and so much more!

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Timestamps:

Chris’s backstory (01:26)
A return to nature (07:40)
What are the coolest corners of the baseball pod world? (10:09)
Number of the Week: Chris’s favorite baseball number (13:31)
Steamer Projections (29:30)
Chris’s 2022 guys (47:50)
Pass/Fail: The Lockout (1:03:00)

Note: Episode recorded on 11/15.

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DSH 38 - Off the Books w/ Major League University

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 5 Nov 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Major League University's Jared Perkins (@JaredCP1) and Austin Byler (AustinByler14) join expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk about the minor league experience, player health, painkillers, prospects, and so much more.

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Timestamps:

Major League University Intro (02:07)
Meet Jared + Austin (05:35)
Austin tells his minor league story (13:02)
How does MLU prep the next generation? (21:50)
What are potential minor leaguers worried about? (26:15)
Jared focuses on prospects + fantasy (33:46)
Analyzing the youngest prospects (34:29)
What can young players learn and what is a special talent? (39:54)
How do we get Cedric Mullins out of nowhere? (41:03)
Jared's prospects (48:59)
Data and the Arizona Fall League (52:52)
Jared's final thoughts (55:40)

Note: Episode recorded on 11/01.

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DSH 37 - Going Deep w/ Zach Hayes

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 22 Oct 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Zach Hayes (@pinetarkeyboard) joins expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk about baseball numbers, pitchers messing with timing, and a whole bunch of confusing and chaotic players.

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Timestamps:

Zach talks about the bleeping weather (01:19)
Meet Zach Hayes (2:06)
Zach’s favorite Zach piece (04:28)
Number of the Week: Zach’s favorite baseball stat (18:02)
Central Question: How can we find clarity in the chaos of some players? (30:05)
Players + Zach’s pivot (33:29)
Where can you find Zach? (01:07:00)

Note: Episode recorded on 10/20.

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DSH 36 - PARS w/ Rick Mahieu

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 8 Oct 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Rick Mahieu (@PARSlist), creator of PARS, joins expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk about his creation, his connection with baseball, and a whole bunch of prospects. We also get his take on the one-game Wild Card play-in.

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Timestamps:

What will Alexander complain about next? (01:25)
Welcome Rick Mahieu (03:48)
What does baseball mean to Rick? (06:30)
When did start making player predictions? (10:20)
The story of PARS (12:55)
Numbers of the Week: Rick’s favorite baseball stat/number (16:18)
How does PARS work a little bit differently? (21:06)
Ranker and rater (24:08)
PARS and Juan Yepez (25:52)
PARS Scale (31:47)
How do you project really young players? (38:18)
The players (40:47)
Some outliers based on PARS (46:43)
Projection system flaws (52:10)
Pass/Fail: One-game play-in (58:46)

Note: Episode recorded on 10/6.

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DSH 35 - 2021 Superlatives

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 1 Oct 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about Congressional baseball, Mookie Betts, and our 2021 regular season superlatives.

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Timestamps:

Congressional Baseball: (03:03)
Numbers of the Week - Mookie Betts (06:11)
Best Season (17:20)
Best Hitter (22:30)
Best Pitcher (31:16)
Most Likely to Succeed [Rookie] (37:02)
Most Unexpected (41:22)
Most Under-the-Radar (46:07)
Best Moment (50:44)
Most Reliable (54:39)
Biggest Regret (1:01:02)

Note: Episode recorded on 9/29.

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DSH 34 - Questions, Questions, Questions

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 24 Sep 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about LD% top and bottom 5 and why something that doesn't matter might matter as well as a few questions we still have as we approach the playoffs and look forward to next season.

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Timestamps:

Alexander Quits Home League (01:03)
Rooting for exciting baseball without fantasy implications (06:12)
Bell Ringer: Shane Baz (07:15)
Numbers of the Week: Top and Bottom 5 in LD% (14:48)
Question 1: The San Francisco Giants (34:24)
Question 2: Minnesota Twins (45:36)
Question 3: The Chicago White Sox (52:12)
Question 4: The AL East (58:57)
Question 5: Are We Going To Have Baseball Next Year? (01:09:12)

Note: Episode recorded on 9/21.

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DSH 33 - Cy Young Contenders

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 17 Sep 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about Cy Young contenders, what stats should matter in crowning a winner, and who should take it home. Also, which pitchers may have disappointed and a celebration of Shohei Ohtani!

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Timestamps:

Bell ringer - Which stats should matter for Cy Young? (02:33)
Difference between fWar and bWar (04:40)
Why Wins and ERA stink (09:09)
Case Studies / Vegas Odds + Books (15:43)
What baseball stats say: AL (19:32)
What baseball stats say: NL (29:35)
Pass/Fail - Which pitchers "failed" their ADPs? (41:00)
Shohei Ohtani "victory lap" (54:00)

Note: Episode recorded on 9/16.

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DSH 32 - Analyzing Hitter Busts

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 10 Sep 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about how to analyze hitter busts in preparation for next year's drafts; are they okay or not? We will discuss our biggest pet peeves about fantasy baseball and give a pass/fail to using the final week of the regular season in fantasy playoffs.

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Timestamps:

Fantasy Baseball Pet Peeve (01:36)
Number of the Week + Guess the Player: -23.6 Weighted Offensive Runs Above Average (12:05)
Central Question: How Can I Analyze Hitter Busts? (15:40)
Case Study: Trevor Story (31:34)
Yelich + Bellinger (41:50)
Tommy Pham (43:57)
Ke'Bryan Hayes + Andrew Vaughn (47:34)
Pass/Fail: Using the Last Week of Reg Season for Fantasy Playoffs (57:34)

Note: Episode recorded on 9/8

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DSH 31 - Playoff Perspectives

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 3 Sep 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Dugout Study Hall - Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about how playoff performances impact the way we think about players, their ADPs next year, and what should matter if anything does, go division by division talking about specific players, and touch on the situation with Mets players "booing" Mets fans when they get big hits.

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Timestamps:

Numbers of the Week: 2020 World Series Mystery Player (06:08)
AL East: Players to Watch (22:11)
AL Central (33:11)
AL West (36:31)
NL East (39:43)
NL Central (49:35)
NL West (54:40)
Pass/Fail: Mets Players “Booing” Fans (57:10)

Note: Episode recorded on 9/1

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DSH 30 - September Call-Ups

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 27 Aug 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about September call-ups, the new system for expanding rosters, what matters and what doesn't, and how we feel about all of that. Also, plus more!

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

note: episode recorded on Saturday 8/21 prior to Friday release.

Timestamps | Bell Ringer: Thoughts on Fall (02:13); Number of the Week: 2 Roster Spots in Expanded Rosters Now (04:30); Team Levers with the 40-man (09:22); What Do We Need to Know About September Call-Ups? (12:07); Most Likely Stats to Help You… If They Help You (17:53); Quantifying “Tools” with MLB Data (26:47); Opportunity, Lineup Spots, Playing Time (30:47); Reacting / Overreacting to Small Sample Sizes (43:40); Players (51:09); Pass/Fail: Should Rosters Expand in September? (57:43)

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DSH 29 - A Conversation w/ Chris Towers

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 20 Aug 2021 10:00:00 +0000

Chris Towers (@CTowersCBS) of CBS Sports joins expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) for a conversation about the culture of sports in general and MLB more specifically, late bedtimes, Chris' analytical process, and more!

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

note: episode recorded on Tuesday 8/17 prior to Friday release.

Timestamps | Bell Ringer: Give Up Sports or Music? (03:15); Chris’ Brain Hijacked by Bo Burnham’s Perfect Pandemic Art (04:53); The Good and Not So Good in Sports Culture Right Now (11:37); The Way We Consume Sports Shapes Culture (15:42); How Does MLB Compare to Other Sports and Their Cultures? (29:09); Understanding What “Underpaid” Means in MLB Context (39:43); Pitching, Hitting, Players, Analysis, and Process (47:04); Reconcile Narratives and Data (56:04); How Many Holes Can We Dig Well and Is It Enough? (58:50); Analysts are Wrong - and People - Too (1:12:05); Chris, Twitter, and CBS (1:19:34)

Subscribe to the CBS Newsletter: https://www.cbssports.com/newsletters/fantasy-football-today/

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DSH 28 - A Conversation w/ Alex Fast

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 13 Aug 2021 09:00:00 +0000

Alex Fast (@AlexFast8), an actual expert, joins expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) to talk about acting, slow pitches, the mental part of analysis, identifying pitcher breakouts, Field of Dreams and so much more!

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

note: episode recorded on Tuesday 8/10 prior to Friday release.

Timestamps | Fast’s Broken Foot (0:46); Broken Sesamoid (02:27) Chase Says Hi (04:14); Alex Fast’s Path to MLB (04:39); How Does the Broadcast Angle Influence Fantasy/Baseball Analysis (08:50); Sometimes You’re Good Because You’re Whacky (13:50); Mental Health and The Grind (19:03); Number of the Week: Top Five Pitchers with Slowest Pitches (22:43); Analytical Process and Undervalued Pitchers (30:00); Best Baseball Writer is Not a Baseball Writer (36:36); Baseball is a Game of a Lot of Choices (41:12); Pass/Fail: Field of Dreams: the Movie + Field of Dreams: the game (49:53); Off the Books: Pitching Overlays, Ideation, Result (55:27)

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DSH 27 - Hitter Shake-Ups

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 6 Aug 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about how recent trades have impacted players and teams, the luxury tax system, and the Mets' inability to sign Kumar Rocker. All of this with specific players, situations, and more!

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

note: episode recorded on Wednesday 8/04 prior to Friday release.

Timestamps | Mookie Betts, Second Baseman (03:24); Number of the Week: 158 (15:54); Best Trade Deadline Ever? (18:58); Matt Loves the Trade Deadline (29:43); Impacts of New Players on Their New Teams (37:30); Anthony Rizzo and Joey Gallo (38:53); Javy Baez to the Mets (48:56); Kyle Schwarber to the Red Sox (53:10); Pass/Fail: The Luxury Tax System (58:13); Off the Books: Kumar Rocker, the Mets, and The System (1:12:05)

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DSH 26 - Reliever Shake-Ups

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 30 Jul 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about evaluating good relievers based on skills and finding value based on ratios, holds and saves. We also discuss how player movement at the trade deadline impacts relief pitchers, how to adjust if your guy gets moved and dive into a couple of trades that have already gone down.

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

Eno Sarris Article: https://theathletic.com/2731381/2021/07/27/eleven-mlb-trades-the-numbers-say-need-to-be-made-this-week/

note: episode recorded on Wednesday 7/28 prior to Friday release.

Timestamps | Gallo Deal in the Moment (01:05); The Olympics (05:10); Numbers of the Week (09:24); Matt Waxes Poetic About Holds + Reliever Stats (19:25); Central Question: What Makes Relievers Good versus Valuable? (24:15); Reliever Trades, Their Impact, and How to Adapt (40:37); Pass/Fail: Jesús Luzardo / Starling Marte Deal (55:14); Very Quick Off the Books: Eno Sarris Article (1:06:38)

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DSH 25 - Call-Ups and Billionaire$

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 23 Jul 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about mid-season call-ups, making sense of their minor league data, how it compares to Major League data, and what to look for as they accumulate more big-league at-bats. We also discuss the stadium situation in Oakland and billionaire owners.

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

Articles: Oakland City Council Approves Term Sheet (San Francisco Chronicle), Who is John Fisher? (SFGate), The Billionaire Playbook (ProPublica)

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Most exciting call-up so far? (01:38); What information can we use from promoted players' minor league data and what MLB data should we be looking at? (08:00); Minor League stats as MLB equivalents (18:16); What MLB data matters once players are promoted? (22:17); Case Study: Jazz Chisholm (29:23); Supersized Pass/Fail: Oakland A’s new stadium situation (33:40); Off the Books: Billionaires using sports franchises for tax benefits (51:01)

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DSH 24 - Draft Day Controversy - Then and Now

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 16 Jul 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about the home run derby, the All-Star Game, and dive into 5 tiers of players, with specific examples, that were varying degrees of controversial on draft day to see what's happened with them in the first half.

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | HR Derby or All-Star Game? (01:08); Add More Skills Competition to All-Star Stuff? (07:27); Number of the Week 160: wRC+ Leaders (9:06); Central Question: How Have Draft Day Controversies Worked Out? (16:27), Tier 1: Yelich, Bellinger, Lindor (28:10); Tier 2: Vladdy, Mondesi, Arenado (37:00); Tier 3: Alvarez, Strasburg, Lowe, Biggio (45:50); Tier 4: Corbin, Gausman, Alcantara, Civale (55:49); Tier 5: Cronenworth, Ray, Mize (1:01:03); Pass/Fail: Mic’d Up Players (1:08:24)

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DSH 23 - Prospects and Dynasty Leagues w/ Eric Cross

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 9 Jul 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) are joined by the legendary Eric Cross (@EricCross04) to talk about prospects, players, the process of creating dynasty ranks, who is must-roster from the newest draft class, ugly hats and so much more!

Email: dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Meet Eric Cross (probably again) and his favorite thing from MLB 2021 (03:49); Number of the Week: Top 500 Dynasty Ranks (07:47); Latest Risers and Fallers (10:03); Fun with NFBC ADP (15:27); Player Decisions a Big Part of Being Wrong About Them? (18:21); What Did We Know About Prospects in 2020? (20:22); What Minor League Data Matters? Did That Change with COVID? (22:10); Who Would You Put Your Money On for An Immediate Top-25 Dynasty Asset From This Draft Class? (32:02); Case Studies: Jesse Winker / Alec Bohm (37:22); Which Nick Moving Forward: Solak or Madrigal? (45:06); Pass/Fail: All-Star Snubs (47:52); Ugly Hats (54:46); Off-the-Books: Approaching Trade Deadline (57:57)

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DSH 22 - The Dynamics of MLB in 2021

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 2 Jul 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) discuss the changing dynamics of Major League Baseball in the year 2021 that make the league...dynamic. They talk about the good, the bad, and the Yankees, with a little shade thrown in for the All-Star Game jerseys.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Bell Ringer: The Mandela Effect (03:54); Numbers of the Week: 16,18 and Kyle Schwarber (08:24); Central Question: What is the impact of the changing landscape of MLB in 2021? (11:01); Some specific changes (12:00); Sticky Situation (12:24); First Pitcher Ejected (12:58); Kyle Schwarber Continued (19:45); Was Substance Use More Widespread? (24:27); Gerrit Cole, Substances, and Confidence? (29:40); Is the Adjustment Period Over? (37:08); Can We Use Stats to Make Accusations? (38:52); Jose Altuve and What Numbers Can Help Us Understand? (41:03); Who Should We Be Talking About? dugoutstudyhall@gmail.com (46:57); The Yankees and Aaron Boone (49:35); All-Star Balloting and Horrible Unis (1:04:42)

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DSH 21 - What 60 Days Can Tell Us w/ Vlad Sedler

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 25 Jun 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) are joined by Vlad Sedler (@RotoGut) to talk about the first 60 games of the season. They discuss what we can learn from what has happened, what we can compare to the 60 games from last season, and what it might mean for the next 60-120 games this year.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Vlad Sedler himself (01:20); Number of the Week: 60 Games (05:02); Byron Buxton + Adalberto Mondesi (11:32); What has been most surprising so far on the field (13:56); Matt thinks Teoscar Hernandez play for the Cardinals (19:02); FAAB Process (19:32); Vlad’s Leagues Depths (25:56); How to Be Right More Than Wrong with FAAB (27:22); What Can Casual Players Take Away from High Stakes Players and What Is Just Too Different (32:40); Alexander Looks Forward to Best Balls (36:00); Vlad’s Preferred Format (38:46); Kyle Schwarber (41:08); Alec Bohm (45:15); Vlad loves Vladdy (49:00); Wander Franco (54:37); SCOTUS Decision on NCAA (59:39)

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DSH 20 - Hey Now, You're an All-Star?

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 18 Jun 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) start off talking about the missive from MLB about pitchers doctoring the ball and then dive into the All-Star balloting, process, and results so far from the point of view of math, fans, and their own personal opinions.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Soccer (non-American football) (00:52); MLB’s missive on pitchers doctoring the balls (06:00); Number of the Week: 857,956 (17:21); First Base Voting (26:06); Does hitting over .300 make an All-Star? (30:29); Should we vote for people we WANT to see? What is the algorithm that spits out the “perfect” All-Star roster? (33:20); Second Base Voting (37:50); Third Base Voting (43:15); Shortstop Voting (49:30); Catcher Voting (53:42); DH Voting (58:08 ); Outfield Voting (58:48); Pass/Fail: Fans voting for position players, fans not voting for pitchers (1:06:03)

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DSH 19 - All the Small Things

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 11 Jun 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about sticky substances, unwritten rules, ride, spin rate, and the small things in baseball that matter and might go against conventional wisdom (using bunting as the core example).

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Ride/Carry (03:45); Number of the Week: 2,436 - Gerrit Cole’s new Average Fastball Spin Rate (05:55); Sticky Substances (10:26); Not so central Central Question: What are changes to the way baseball is played and managed to be more effective? (27:12); Bunting Decisions (28:52); Bad Outcomes Not Necessarily Dumb (43:51); Pass/Fail: City Connect Jerseys (53:32)

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DSH 18 - Closer Situations

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 4 Jun 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about closer situations, Mariano Rivera, Liam Hendricks, who has been good and who hasn't, who is legit and who might not be, who you can likely count on and why? We also talk about holds and the new park factor tool from Savant.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Bell Ringer: Mariano Rivera (03:51), Number of the Week: 2.05 ERA, xERA, xFIP (09:22); Central Question: Which closers can I count on and how do I know? (16:26); Case Study: Craig Kimbrel (27:24); Case Study: Mark Melancon (36:08); Case Study: Will Smith (39:20); Platoons: Oakland + Cincinnati (45:08); Pass/Fail: Holds (52:26); Off the Books: Park Factors Tool (54:24)

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DSH 17 - ERA Estimators and Substitutes

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 28 May 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about thunderstorms, an off-season dynasty league trade, ERA, ERA estimators and substitutes, Luis Castillo, John Gant, Aaron Nola, Kenley Jansen, and more. Plus Matt gets deep about leaves. Apologies for the thunder in the background and Matt's mic issues.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Bell ringer: Who is the most surprising pitcher so far? (02:52); Number of the Week: 98.9 LOB% (12:18); Central Question: How can we use ERA and ERA estimators to make good choices? (15:07); ERA (17:04); What can pitchers control and not control? (23:26); FIP (25:49); xFIP (28:40); SIERA (31:44); KWERA + xERA (33:07); Case Study: Luis Castillo (35:58); Case Study: John Gant (42:57); Case Study: Aaron Nola (51:12); Matt gets philosophical (56:08); Kenley Jansen (1:04:05)

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DSH 16 - Let's Talk About Trades

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 21 May 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about hot weather, summer baseball, full stadiums, periodic insects, transactions, and trades that make sense in each division (both real life and fantasy). The episode wraps up with a short discussion on the lunacy of TLR.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Stadiums at full capacity and hot games (03:09); Bell Ringer: What has been more fun, real or fantasy baseball? (08:03); Numbers of the Week: Most Added/Dropped on ESPN (09:35); Real life and fantasy trades by division (14:40); AL EAST (18:03); NL EAST (30:08); AL CENTRAL (38:38); NL CENTRAL (45:41); AL WEST (52:33); NL WEST (59:23); TLR (1:04:37)

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DSH 15 - Asking the Right Questions w/ U Down with OBP?

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 14 May 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) are joined by Mick Bell (@mickeybell3) and James Hare (@JMurder187) from U Down with OBP? to talk about the waiver wire, relief pitching, whether outlier players who are drafted super high might still be undervalued, and some details about what our new friends have in store over in their neck of the woods.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Waiver wire approaches (04:18), Number of the Week: 10 - Saves and Closers (14:40); Central Question: How we ask ourselves (and experts) the right questions to get good answers (24:40); Should outlier players who are drafted high not going high enough? (25:42); When are player splits useful and actionable (39:23); Buy/Sell (51:45); The Red Sox A Playoff Team? (52:07); The Tigers Are the Worst Team in Baseball? (55:45); Giancarlo Stanton the AL MVP Favorite? (59:20)

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DSH 14 - What Do We Know About Baseball So Far?

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 7 May 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about things that matter and things that don't. We have fun with numbers that don't mean anything (but some actually mean something), The Kansas City Royals as being legit or not and the SRS metric, Cedric Mullins II, Matthew Boyd, 7-inning non no-hitters, the return of MiLB, and more!

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Bell Ringer: Fun with numbers that don’t mean anything (06:18); Number of the Week: -0.7 SRS for the Royals (29:26); Case Study: Cedric Mullins II (40:00); Case Study: Matthew Boyd (46:48); 7 inning non-no-hitters (53:12); MiLB Opening Day! (59:41)

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DSH 13 - Anti-Victory Laps w/ Max Greenfield

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 30 Apr 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) are joined by Max Greenfield (@GreenfieldMax18) to talk about admitting when you might be wrong and how it can help you make good decisions, Jed Lowrie, Corey Kluber, Tyler Glasnow, Jason Heyward, Ian Happ and more! Plus Max sings the praises of the Colorado Rockies management (except the opposite of that).

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Taco Bell Cantina (00:56); Bell ringer: Jed Lowrie (03:09); Number of the Week: 200 wRC+ (11:36); Central Question: How can we benefit from our own humility? (24:12); Case Study: Kenta Maeda (25:55); Tyler Glasnow (38:40); Changes that are choices vs. happenstance (41:18), Jason Heyward (42:55); Ian Happ (44:18), Yermin Mercedes (49:29); Max chooses between talking about 7 inning no no-hitters and Colorado Rockies mismanagement (57:56)

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DSH 11 - Reacting to Small Samples

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 16 Apr 2021 12:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat about the beginning of the season, small sample sizes, how to react appropriately without over or under-doing it, 7 inning doubleheaders and the new ball's new exit velocities.

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | The start of fantasy + real baseball (02:36), Number of the Week 56.7% + Steven Matz (05:30), Central Question: How do react appropriately to small sample sizes, especially the start of the season? (16:08), Case Study: Tyler Naquin (18:20), Talent, Luck, Choice: Which can we measure? (27:22), Metrics and luck (29:32), Case Studies: Freddie Freemen + Jose Altuve + line drive rate (29:56), Case Study: Tyler Glasnow (39:49), Case Study: Freddy Peralta (43:48), Pass/Fail: 7 inning doubleheaders (55:34), Off the Books: New ball and increased exit velocity (57:47)

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DSH 10 - Understanding and Applying Projections w/ Steve Paulo

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 9 Apr 2021 13:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat with Steve Paulo (@StevePaulo) about projections, STOMPER, auction values, DFS, betting, scoresheet fantasy, and more!

note: episodes are recorded on Mondays or Tuesdays prior to Friday releases.

Timestamps | Shohei Ohtani and “Appointment Viewing” (02:09), Number of the Week: 77 + STOMPER (08:08), Marcel the Monkey + STOMPER construction(11:56), In-season projections (18:28), Central Question: How do I use projections to get an edge including DFS and betting (19:44), Projections with rookies + young players (32:25); Matt misses on hits + misses (42:44); Ty France + Nick Madrigal (48:23), Scoresheet (49:25).

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DSH 09 - How To Be Right About Your Lineups w/ Mike Kurland

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 2 Apr 2021 13:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) chat with Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) about Spring Training, lineups, splits, the Universal DH, the "unjuiced" ball, and more to help you get an edge in your league.

Timestamps | Alexander becomes a U.S. citizen! (01:53), Spring Training: lineup charts (03:26), Spring Training: what matters and what doesn’t (06:59), Number of the week: splits (14:50), Central Question: How can I get an edge looking at lineups + splits (19:35), How do we not overreact? (29:16), “Hidden” information (32:20), Adjustments for how different teams function - or don’t? (40:00), Players to be excited about (42:26), Pass/Fail: Universal DH (52:20), Off the Books: “Unjuiced” ball (57:14).

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DSH 08 - How To Be Right About Your Format

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 26 Mar 2021 13:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about our PLPNFBL (Pitcher List Podcast Network Fantasy Baseball League) draft, how to think about your victory conditions in various league formats, why that matters, and what Alex's ideal categories are (hint: it's a 4 x 4).

Timestamps | Number of the week: 45.9 million (03:00), Central Question: How do format and rules affect my victory condition? (04:17), The Dugout Study Hall PL Podcast Network League Draft (05:30), Alex does some fast math (15:50), Victory condition around punting average (17:08), Punting in general (22:35), Know the source and context of advice, especially about format (30:37), NCAA Tournament (31:03), Catcher win condition (35:04), Value above replacement (39:14), Rapid fire: Alex’s thoughts on different formats (46:03), Off the books: Alex’s ideal categories (58:13).

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DSH 07 - How To Be Right About Rookies w/ Shelly V

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 19 Mar 2021 13:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) welcome Shelly Verougstraete (@ShellyV_643) to talk about French Bulldogs, MiLB vs. MLB data, evaluating rookies, Bobby Witt, Jr., Jasson Dominguez, Nick Lodolo, and the new rules being tried out in the minors.

Find Shelly: Pitcher List | Dynasty Guru | Over the Monster | @DynastysChild

Timestamps | Shelly talks about Frenchies (02:14), Number of the Week: Kyle Lewis ranked MLB.com's #1 rookie of 2020 (07:19), Central Question: How to be right about rookies + The rest of MLB.com's top 10 rookies for 2020 (10:53), MiLB data vs. MLB data (16:57), How do we get at the components of “tools” (27:22), Case Study: Bobby Witt, Jr. (31:55), Case Study: Case Study: Jasson Dominguez (37:47), Case Study: Nick Lodolo (40:46), Alex's improvement on CSW? (43:11), Approaching rookies depending on format (44:15), Trevor Tooth: DO NOT DRAFT (46:26), Minor League Rules Reshuffle (50:30)

French Bulldog Article | Baking Article

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DSH 06 - How To Be Right w/ Michael Ajeto

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 12 Mar 2021 14:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) welcome Michael Ajeto (@dysthymikey) to talk about his @TGFBI draft, league specific strategy, some players Mikey likes and the first thing he'd change about MLB if he were commissioner for the day.

Ajeto the Author: Lookout Landing | Pitcher List

Mikey the Podcaster: It's Never Sunny in Seattle | Clubhouse Naptime

Timestamps | Favorite local foods (03:00), Number of the Week: Vlad Guerrero, Jr.’s ADP (05:23), Central Question: How to be right (15:39), Mikey’s TGFBI (16:35), Drafting to format (27:46), Players for 2021: Tyler Mahle, Buster Posey, Josh Lindbloom (30:04), Spin efficiency. drop fastball ride (36:34), R-squared (39:15), Dylan Moore (42:46), How is Mikey different in drafts (48:35), Off the Books: Ajeto is MLB Commissioner for the day (55:13).

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DSH 05 - What's So Hard About Contact?

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 5 Mar 2021 14:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about using contact data to understand pitchers. We talk about HardHit%, Hard% and Soft%, better ways to analyze and compare pitchers using contact data, and the potential impact of the new deadened ball. Listen carefully and you'll hear us trip all over our words a couple of times. Okay, you don't have to listen too hard and it's more than a couple of times.

Ball Articles: Juiced | Deadened

Pitching Article: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/josh-staumont-talks-pitching/

Timestamps | Weak contact, pitchers' perspective (04:00), Numbers of the week; HardHit%, Hard% (04:40), Case Study: Kenta Maeda (06:12), Context for contact (12:24), Case Study: Glasnow + Keuchel (16:15), Extremes to prove the logic (20:46), Reliability of HardHit% / PA (25:41), Case Study: Hyun-jin Ryu (28:42), Case Study: Jon Lester and Soft% (35:43), Contact re: situation + arsenal (42:09), New balls for 2021 (48:27).

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DSH 04 - How To Be Right About Value w/ Scott Chu

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 26 Feb 2021 15:00:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) are joined by Pitcher List's own Scott Chu (@ifthechufits) to talk about finding value in drafts. Scott talks about his ranks, Alexander discusses his auction estimator, and Matt, as always, tries to figure out what's going.

Sincere thanks to Scott Chu for making the digital journey to our pod! You can find his Pitcher List author page here. Tune in to his pods Hacks & Jacks (@hacksandjacksPL) and PL Shorts (@PLShortsPod) and check out his ranks.

PitchCon presentations: Scott Chu | Alexander Chase

Timestamps | Talking curling (01:47), Number of the week, PitchCon (06:51), Rolling graphs with Scott Chu (08:10), Ranking process (13:43), Auction estimator process (16:49), Comparing ranks to auction values (19:57), Using ranks for auctions and vice versa (33:57), Case Study: Adalberto Mondesi (40:18), Case Study: Paul Goldschmidt (46:49), League formats (51:13).

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DSH 03 - Understanding Park Factors

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Fri, 19 Feb 2021 14:08:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) discuss park factors and the impact they have on hitters and pitchers.

Timestamps | Number of the week (03:58), Top 5 wRC+ hitters from 2020 (06:24), What do I need to know about park factors? (09:51), Dan Richards + Alex Fast: New way to calculate park factors (17:00), Barrels w/ park factor (21:12), Case Study: Nolan Arenado (27:17), Case Study: CJ Cron (34:01), Case Study: Yankee Stadium (38:55), Case Study: Framber Valdez (42:27), Pass/Fail: Trever Bauer / Andrew Benintendi (50:02).

Articles: Dan Richards (Part I), Dan Richards (Part II), Alex Fast (Part III)

Snow Game via Twitter: https://twitter.com/PlayBall/status/1358797581837623300?s=20

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DSH 02 - How To Be Right About Strikeouts

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Tue, 16 Feb 2021 01:32:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about ways to evaluate strikeouts that will help in preparing for a draft as well as with in-season roster management.

Timestamps | Numbers of the week (02:09), O-Swing% (02:59), Z-Contact % (04:44), How can I be right about strikeouts? (07:00), K% vs. K/9 (09:47), Case Study: Zac Gallen (13:24), Whiff% vs. SwStr% (16:10), The Monty Hall Problem (17:52), Called strikes and CSW (21:06), Case Study: Brad Hand (23:16), What pitches should we expect to get strikes? (26:24), Case Study: Aaron Civale (29:39), K% of individual pitches (33:07), Case Study: Framber Valdez (34:37), Biggest takeaways (38:57), Case Study: Dustin May vs. Ian Anderson (40:16), In-game video effect? (44:11), Pass/Fail: Arenado to the Cardinals, Cobb to the Angels, and underlying concepts (46:54) What you can do at home (55:00).

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Dugout Study Hall | Trailer

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Tue, 2 Feb 2021 18:15:00 +0000

Welcome to Dugout Study Hall, part of the Pitcher List Podcast Network, and a remedial course in baseball stats. Join expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) each week as they provide analysis and insight into the numbers that will give you an edge and help you dominate your league!

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DSH 01 - How to Be Right About Sluggers

podcasts@pitcherlist.com (Big Pond Podcasts) — Mon, 1 Feb 2021 04:48:00 +0000

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about ways to evaluate power that will help in preparing for a draft as well as with in-season roster management.

Timestamps | Number of the Week (2:14), Central Question: How can I get an edge on power in drafts? (6:05), Barrels + Barrels/PA: Miguel Sano (7:38), SLG, ISO, and input vs output stats (14:49), EV, Hard Hit%, GB%: Yandy Diaz (18:24), The problem with averages (22:58), How EV can mislead you (25:35), Fair comparisons: Jose Ramirez (28:01), Turning Power into Barrels: Luke Voit (29:55), Pass/Fail: Francisco Lindor (35:58), Pass/Fail: Liam Hendricks (44:03), and "Is baseball better with more balls in play?" (45:50)

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