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Ian Hartitz ranks his top 27 tight ends for Week 2, sorts them into five tiers, and stops after every tier for a bigger question about the position. Trey McBride opens at TE1, Colston Loveland holds at TE2 after the Week 1 goose egg heard round the world, Dalton Kincaid jumps all the way to TE3, Isaiah Likely lands at TE5 in his first season as a Giant, and Travis Kelce sits at TE13.

The Kincaid case in one line: a 77% snap rate and a 69% route rate finally gave him a true full-time role, and on a per route run basis over the last 12 months he belongs in a group with Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Ian does not need more than one hand to count the tight ends he would rather have the rest of the season.

The Likely case: an 8-78-2 opener looks a lot like his 9-111-1 opener in 2024, and he finished that year as the TE20 in points per game. What is different now is that there is no Mark Andrews to share the field with, so he is the focal point of the Giants passing game behind Malik Nabers.

THE FIVE TIERS
Tier 1: The big three
Tier 2: Cemented TE1s that you can feel good about
Tier 3: Studs with a question mark
Tier 4: Would be a lot cooler if you had a better option
Tier 5: You never know

THE KEY QUESTIONS
Can you fully buy into Dalton Kincaid as a top-five fantasy tight end? Yes, and the film backs the numbers: he beat Derek Stingley on a jump ball, ran away from two defenders on a crosser to set up the game winner, and now plays as the clear number two option in a Josh Allen offense that threw more in Week 1 than it did all last season.

Was Isaiah Likely's Week 1 boom another fluke? We have seen this open before, but never without Mark Andrews on the field. A near full-time role in an offense with no clear second target, and a young quarterback who has played well, is a very different setup.

Who have been the league's most productive tight ends over the last half season? Trey McBride at 21.1 points per game, then George Kittle at 16.4 and Kyle Pitts at 13.7, with Brock Bowers, Dallas Goedert and Colby Parkinson close behind. Ian's takeaway: FREE KYLE PITTS.

What defenses have been the worst on paper at stopping tight ends over the last 12 months? Spoiler, it is the Bengals, which is exactly why Dalton Schultz is this week's flyer.

Who are the best under-owned tight end bench stashes? Oronde Gadsden is the name Ian is most intrigued by, with Terrance Ferguson worth one more week in the stash. Both fit the same profile as Kincaid and Likely: talented receivers waiting on a full-time role.

CHAPTERS
0:00 Top 27 tight ends, and the bigger questions
0:21 Tier 1: The big three
2:49 Key question: Buy Dalton Kincaid as a top-five TE?
5:01 Tier 2: Cemented TE1s you can feel good about
7:21 Key question: Was Isaiah Likely's boom real?
8:57 Tier 3: Studs with a question mark
13:25 Key question: The most productive TEs of the last half season
14:14 Tier 4: Would be cooler with a better option
17:07 Key question: The worst defenses against tight ends
17:56 Tier 5: You never know
20:02 Key question: The best under-owned bench stashes
21:53 Wrap

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Ian Hartitz ranks his top 60 wide receivers for Week 2, sorts them into six tiers, and stops after every tier for a bigger question about the position. Puka Nacua opens at WR1, DJ Moore lands at WR9 in his first Week 2 as a Bill, Drake London sits at WR26, and Jordan Addison comes in at WR37 with a matchup that makes him this week's exception.

The Addison case in one line: he ran one of the deepest route trees in the league in Week 1 at 13.8 average route depth, and downfield targets are usually a warning sign rather than a selling point. Against a man-heavy Bears secondary, Ian has him as the exception to his own rule.

THE SIX TIERS
Tier 1: Ballers, shot callers
Tier 2: Locked-in starters, all league shapes
Tier 3: WR1 upside with a question mark
Tier 4: We are saying there's a chance
Tier 5: Flex plays with a scary floor
Tier 6: Best of the rest

THE KEY QUESTIONS
Which receivers had the most downfield-oriented roles in Week 1? Every receiver with an average route depth of 12-plus yards is on screen, with the note that a deep role only hurts when it comes instead of a full-time one. That is the flag on Brian Thomas Jr., Alec Pierce and Marvin Harrison Jr., and the reason Addison is the exception.

Who are the under-the-radar bench stashes for deep leagues? Nine names, all 20% owned or lower on both ESPN and Yahoo, ranked in Ian's order. Dontayvion Wicks, Adonai Mitchell and Rashod Bateman are the preferred Week 2 starts, and Tre' Harris rises to the top of that group if Ladd McConkey (ribs) cannot go.

Which matchups and totals move the needle? Cowboys at Commanders carries the second-highest total on the slate, behind only Lions at Bills. And if McConkey sits, Quentin Johnston moves up to roughly WR29 or WR30.

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CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro
0:26 Tier 1: Ballers, shot callers
3:58 Key question: Which defenses ran the most man coverage in Week 1?
6:00 Tier 2: Locked-in starters, all league shapes
12:20 Key question: Which offenses got more pass-happy than 2025?
13:47 Tier 3: WR1 upside with a question mark
22:17 Key question: How did last season's WR1s perform in Week 1?
23:24 Tier 4: We are saying there's a chance
26:25 Key question: Which secondaries have been worst against WRs?
27:12 A word from Fantasy Genius
28:40 Tier 5: Flex plays with a scary floor
34:55 Key question: Which receivers had the most downfield roles?
36:19 Tier 6: Best of the rest
39:45 Key question: Under-the-radar bench stashes for deep leagues
40:48 Wrapping up

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Week 2 is here, and one week of football has already changed how people feel about their running backs. Ian Hartitz ranks his top 48 backs for Week 2, sorts them into six tiers, and stops after every tier for a bigger question about the position. First up: everyone who drafted Christian McCaffrey at RB3 should take a step back and chill out. The 49ers gave him 18 combined carries and targets in Week 1, in Australia, while he was dealing with cramps, and they still look like one of the best offenses in the NFL.

Also in here: Jahmyr Gibbs opens at RB1 after 33.6 PPR points without an explosive play, Bijan Robinson leads the entire league at a 53% target share, Bucky Irving lands at RB19, Travis Etienne at RB24, and the tier six handcuffs worth stashing are all available in at least 65% of ESPN and Yahoo leagues.

THE SIX TIERS
Tier 1: Elite talents with fantasy-friendly workloads
Tier 2: Top 15 options with a little cause for concern
Tier 3: Clear lead backs you should be starting
Tier 4: We are saying there's a chance
Tier 5: Your opponent is not scared that you're starting this guy
Tier 6: Handcuffs and bad flex plays

THE KEY QUESTIONS
Which backs had a true workhorse role in Week 1? Every team's RB1, RB2 and RB3 is on screen with snap share, rushes and targets, so you can pause on your own situation.
Who has the best and worst on-paper matchups for Week 2? Using 2025 plus Week 1 of 2026, the Seahawks, Jaguars, Texans, Chiefs, Patriots and Broncos have been toughest on running backs, and the Bengals, Cowboys and Bills have been the softest.
Which backs benefit in the passing game against zone-heavy defenses? Last week's reception overs went two for three, and Ian names this week's targets.
Which defensive fronts stood out in Week 1? Measured by time to pressure rather than pressure rate, because the question is how fast they get there.
Who did the most with their touches in Week 1? Touchdowns, explosive plays and tackles avoided divided by carries and targets, so the 30-touch backs do not run away with it.
Which under-rostered handcuffs should you stash?

Ian's full rankings and tiers are in the draft kit, linked at the top of this description. Promo code IAN40 takes 40% off.

New every week: QB, RB, WR and TE rankings and tiers, the injury show on Friday, the Sunday night review show, and Beyond the Box Score on Monday.

Timestamps:

0:00 Intro and this week's questions
0:23 Tier 1: Elite talents with fantasy-friendly workloads
5:45 Key question: which backs had a true workhorse role in Week 1
6:51 Tier 2: Top 15 options with a little cause for concern
10:42 Key question: the best and worst on-paper matchups for Week 2
11:45 Tier 3: Clear lead backs you should be starting
15:49 Key question: which backs benefit against zone-heavy defenses
16:44 Tier 4: We are saying there's a chance
23:18 Key question: which defensive fronts stood out in Week 1
24:14 Tier 5: Your opponent is not scared of this guy
26:15 Key question: who did the most with their touches in Week 1
27:03 Tier 6: Handcuffs and bad flex plays
28:40 Last question: the best under-rostered handcuffs to stash
29:24 Wrapping up

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TIER 1: EASY 20+ FANTASY POINT UPSIDE
Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Brock Purdy, Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels.
Key question: who has the best and worst on-paper matchups this week? Over the last 12 months the Cowboys, Jets and Commanders stand out as the three worst defenses in EPA per dropback and fantasy points allowed to QBs, with the Titans, Cardinals and Bengals not far behind. The Vikings, Bills, Chargers, Seahawks, Texans and Browns have been the toughest. Whoever plays the Cowboys, start them, and this week that is Jayden Daniels.

TIER 2: WE BELIEVE IN YOU, BUT THERE'S JUST ONE PROBLEM
Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence, Drake Maye, Jordan Love, Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow.
Key question: who have been the NFL's best fantasy QBs over the last half season? Since Week 10 of last season Trevor Lawrence is the QB1, followed by Josh Allen and Brock Purdy, the only three averaging more than 20 fantasy points per game. Caleb Williams and Jaxson Dart are inside the top six, and Bryce Young sits ahead of Patrick Mahomes. Burrow is QB12 because of the Texans defense: Jordan Love and Dak Prescott should see similar volume in far better matchups.

TIER 3: THERE'S DEFINITELY A CHANCE
Jaxson Dart, Jared Goff, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Tyler Shough.
Key question: what new schemes showed the most and least promise in Week 1? Zac Robinson's Buccaneers ranked second in both play-action rate and pre-snap shift and motion, and joined the 49ers and Jaguars as the only offenses inside the top 10 in both rushing and passing success rate. The problem was four lost fumbles. The Lions and Chargers also stood out as smart offenses, while the Bengals landed in the bottom-left corner of the chart, right where they always seem to be.

TIER 4: FEELS TOO LOW, BUT IS IT REALLY?
Matthew Stafford, Bryce Young, Malik Willis, Carson Wentz, Patrick Mahomes.
Key question: what teams might have bad offensive lines? Using rush yards before contact per carry and time to pressure allowed, the Chiefs and Chargers were the two worst lines in Week 1, while the 49ers, Rams, Bears, Jets and Raiders looked like the best. Mahomes ran for a touchdown on the opening drive, but his 27 pass attempts were tied for his fewest in any game since 2023, and between the line, the weapons and the passing volume, Ian cannot rank him high yet.

TIER 5: SUPERFLEX ONLY
C.J. Stroud, Jacoby Brissett, Daniel Jones, Geno Smith, Aaron Rodgers.
DST: Ian is sticking with the Ravens for the foreseeable future. If you need another option, the Chiefs DST should be on waiver wires, with the Colts, Dolphins and Raiders up next and the Jets, Falcons and Cardinals in Weeks 9 through 11.
Key question: what offenses are implied to score the most points this week? Vegas has the Bears 5th, the Chiefs 6th and the Chargers 8th, and is looking past Denver's Week 1 at 13th. The Bengals (19th, at Houston) and Jaguars (21st, at Denver) are down, which is why Burrow and Trevor Lawrence sit lower than they would in neutral spots. The Jets are 25th and the Cardinals 27th.

TIER 6: DREW LOCK AND SOME BUMS
Drew Lock, Cam Ward, Kirk Cousins, Deshaun Watson, Cooper Rush.

Thanks to Fantasy Genius for sponsoring this episode. Connect your league for its full history, who has owned every player, and human-written league recaps. Go to https://fantasygenius.io and use code ROTOWIRE for 20% off your first year.

Ian's full rankings and tiers are in the draft kit, linked at the top of this description. Promo code IAN40 takes 40% off.

New every week: QB, RB, WR and TE rankings and tiers, the injury show on Friday, the Sunday night review show, and Beyond the Box Score on Monday.

Timestamps:

0:00 Intro and this week's five questions
0:29 Tier 1: Easy 20+ fantasy point upside
4:09 Key question: best and worst on-paper matchups
5:08 Tier 2: We believe in you, but there's one problem
9:24 Key question: the best fantasy QBs since last Week 10
10:52 Tier 3: There's definitely a chance
14:00 Key question: which new schemes showed promise in Week 1
15:56 Fantasy Genius
17:13 Tier 4: Feels too low, but is it really?
21:28 Key question: which teams might have bad offensive lines
22:29 Tier 5: Superflex only
22:58 DST picks: Ravens and Chiefs
25:12 Key question: which offenses are implied to score the most
26:11 Tier 6: Drew Lock and some bums
27:21 Wrapping up

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UNREALIZED AIR YARDS
Aaron Rodgers was partying like it was 2015 again, with his highest single-game average target depth since he joined the Steelers. DK Metcalf left 136 unrealized air yards on the field, and replay showed AJ Terrell pulling his arm down on a potential 40-plus yard catch. DJ Moore led the week with 170, followed by Roman Wilson (147), Metcalf (136), Puka Nacua (133) and George Pickens (127).

GEORGE PICKENS AND THE BIG DROPS
Pickens busted in the box score, but he is still a major part of the Cowboys offense: 127 unrealized air yards, a 38-yard DPI and two big drops worth about 60 more yards. Jameson Williams, Chris Olave, Romeo Doubs and Tez Johnson also let big plays bounce off their hands.

TOUCHDOWNS CALLED BACK AND DPI TRACKER
Braelon Allen, Cooper Kupp, Ja'Kobi Lane, Darren Waller and Mitchell Evans all had scores taken off the board. On the DPI side, Tre Harris (48 yards), DJ Moore, Pickens, Roman Wilson and AJ Brown all drew flags that could have been much bigger days.

⏱️ CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro: the Week 1 Sheesh Report
0:28 Tackled at the 1-yard line with no touchdown
1:33 Unrealized air yards leaderboard
3:50 Touchdowns called back by penalty
5:58 Defensive pass interference tracker
7:53 Interception doctor
9:33 Big drops: George Pickens, Jameson Williams and more
11:44 Better ball touchdowns
13:33 Wrapping up

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From Jahmyr Gibbs’ dominant opener and the Bears–Panthers shootout to Josh Allen’s big day and Christian Watson’s breakout performance, they unpack the biggest fantasy storylines. Plus: what to make of Colston Loveland’s quiet start, Jalen Coker’s production, Kyler Murray’s injury, and the crowded backfields shaping early lineup decisions. Get the context behind the box scores before making your Week 2 waiver and lineup moves.

TIMESTAMPS
00:00:00 Welcome & Week 1 overreactions
00:00:48 Lions–Saints: Jahmyr Gibbs dominates
00:11:31 Bengals–Buccaneers: Chase Brown & the passing games
00:22:12 Ravens–Colts: Baltimore’s offense & Jonathan Taylor
00:36:37 Jaguars–Browns: Trevor Lawrence & Cleveland’s concerns
00:55:25 Jets–Titans: Fantasy takeaways & offensive struggles
01:08:34 Steelers–Falcons: Receiver usage & crowded backfields
01:23:20 Bears–Panthers: Caleb Williams, Loveland & Jalen Coker
01:46:55 Bills–Texans: Josh Allen delivers & Nico Collins’ outlook
02:03:25 Sponsor break: Xfinity
02:04:25 Vikings–Packers: Kyler Murray’s injury & Christian Watson
02:18:17 Raiders–Dolphins: Ashton Jeanty & Michael Mayer
02:27:34 Cardinals–Chargers: Trey McBride & Trey Harris
02:37:35 Eagles–Commanders: Offensive concerns & backfield splits
02:46:24 Wrap-up & upcoming fantasy reports
 

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Ian is giving away a free entry to the Splash Sports Survivor World Championship, $21 million in prizes. To enter:
1. Follow @Ihartitz and @splashsports
2. Retweet the post
3. Reply with a hot take for the season

https://x.com/Ihartitz/status/2098169602924552479

Ian picks the winner around 3pm ET Saturday, so get in quick.

⏱️ CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro
0:30 Quarterbacks
3:08 QB update: Sam Darnold
3:30 Running backs, good to go
4:24 Running backs to watch
6:33 More running back news
8:05 RB update: Josh Jacobs
10:25 Wide receivers, good to go
11:41 Wide receivers, questionable
14:34 WR update: A.J. Brown
16:57 Tight ends
18:53 Splash Sports Survivor giveaway
20:19 Billy's best bets
21:00 Long shot lotto play
21:37 Anytime touchdown pick
22:24 Touchdown scorer of the week
23:37 Ian's Betr card

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Week 1 is here. Ian Hartitz ranks 25 tight ends across six tiers and takes on a bigger picture question at the end of every tier: the best and worst early season schedules, the best bench stashes, the injuries to monitor, and which tight ends survive a bad offense.

Ian also re-ranked twice on the fly during the show. Juwan Johnson moves up to TE9 and Terrance Ferguson moves to the top of tier 6, so you are watching the board change in real time.

CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro and the six bigger questions
0:14 Tier 1: THE TE1
1:31 Tier 2: 20+ PPR upside is on the table
4:59 Tier 3: Locked-in TE1s
9:46 Tier 4: Starters with a question mark
14:49 Tier 5: We're saying there's a chance
18:26 Tier 6: America loves an underdog
22:14 The full board, all 25 ranked

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TIER 1: THE BIG FOUR
Puka Nacua, Ja'Marr Chase, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Key question: was 2025 an outlier year for JSN? He took 35.8% of his team's targets in the games he played; the only other receiver to clear 35% in a decade was 2017 DeAndre Hopkins at 35.3%. He also commanded 49.4% of Seattle's air yards, past 2022 DJ Moore's 47.9% 10-year high. Klint Kubiak is gone and Rashid Shaheed has a full offseason in, so the share can come down without the player falling far.

TIER 2: BADASS WR1s
A.J. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, Justin Jefferson, Chris Olave, DeVonta Smith, Drake London, Malik Nabers.
Key question: which Week 1 matchups profile as back-and-forth shootouts? Ian wants a total of 48 or better with a spread inside six: 49ers at Rams (LAR -3.5, 48.5), Buccaneers at Bengals (CIN -3.5, 50.5), Saints at Lions (DET -7, 49.5) and Cowboys at Giants (DAL -2.5, 48.5). The Nabers workload is the open question, though releasing Darius Slayton reads as a good sign against last year's 32nd-ranked defense versus receivers.

TIER 3: STARTING WITH CONFIDENCE
George Pickens, Tee Higgins, Jaylen Waddle, Ladd McConkey, Zay Flowers, Rashee Rice, Davante Adams, Mike Evans.
Key question: which receivers have the best and worst early-season schedules? Best rooms through four weeks: Eagles, Saints, Ravens, Giants, Jets, which lifts Dontayvion Wicks, Devaughn Vele, Rashod Bateman, Malachi Fields and Adonai Mitchell. Toughest: Buccaneers, Jaguars, Bears, Steelers, Lions.

TIER 4: THERE'S JUST A LITTLE BIT OF CONCERN
Tetairoa McMillan, Garrett Wilson, Jameson Williams, Christian Watson, Parker Washington, DJ Moore, Emeka Egbuka, Luther Burden, Rome Odunze, Terry McLaurin.
Key question: what are the key Week 1 injuries at receiver? The Bears secondary McMillan draws is banged up everywhere: corners Kyler Gordon (calf, PUP), Jaylon Jones (IR), Jaylon Johnson (arm) and Tyrique Stevenson, plus safeties Coby Bryant (knee, IR) and Xavier Woods. Ian runs the full league-wide list and is most worried about Rome Odunze, who did not practice Monday.

TIER 5: FLEX PLAYS YOU SHOULD FEEL GOOD ABOUT
Chris Godwin, Quentin Johnston, Jayden Reed, Stefon Diggs, Marvin Harrison Jr., DK Metcalf, Josh Downs, Brian Thomas Jr., Jordan Addison.
Key question: who were the best and worst teams against slot receivers last season? The five worst were the Bears, 49ers, Colts, Commanders and Cowboys, which is good news for T-Mac and Jalen Coker, Puka, a Zay Flowers breakout, DeVonta Smith and Nabers. The five best: Vikings, Eagles, Falcons, Browns, Saints.

TIER 6: WE'RE SAYING THERE'S A CHANCE
KC Concepcion, De'Zhaun Stribling, Carnell Tate, Matthew Golden, Michael Wilson, Courtland Sutton, Jalen Coker, Alec Pierce, Michael Pittman.
Key question: can Michael Wilson keep getting away with it in 2026? He was the WR4 in PPR points per game from Week 8 on at 18.6, and only Puka outscored him over the last eight weeks. The case against: 0.67 yards per route run, dead last, in the eight games Marvin Harrison played 70% of snaps, against 2.33 and 12th with Harrison out. His 57.6 PPR points while trailing by three-plus scores is the highest of any receiver in five years.

TIER 7: WR5 LONGSHOTS
Jakobi Meyers, Tre Tucker, Rashid Shaheed, Wan'Dale Robinson, Devaughn Vele, Romeo Doubs, Khalil Shakir, Xavier Worthy, Makai Lemon, Rashod Bateman, Denzel Boston, Tre Harris.
Key question: which receivers have full-time roles and are dirt cheap in DFS? Under $4,000 on DraftKings: Rashod Bateman ($3,900), Tre Harris ($3,800), Jahan Dotson ($3,700), Jaylin Noel ($3,600), Devaughn Vele ($3,500), Chris Bell ($3,200) and Caleb Douglas ($3,000). Vele is the one Ian is most pumped about.

Full rankings, tiers and the Injury Report are all in the draft kit, linked at the top. Promo code IAN35 takes 35% off.

Timestamps:
0:00 The plan and the seven questions
0:31 Tier 1: The big four
1:16 Key question: was 2025 an outlier year for JSN
2:57 Tier 2: Badass WR1s
7:01 Key question: which Week 1 matchups profile as shootouts
7:51 Tier 3: Starting with confidence
12:17 Key question: the best and worst early-season schedules
14:02 Tier 4: There's just a little bit of concern
18:41 Key question: the Week 1 injuries to watch at receiver
19:24 Tier 5: FLEX plays you should feel good about
22:47 Key question: the best and worst teams against slot receivers
23:56 Tier 6: We're saying there's a chance
26:40 Key question: can Michael Wilson keep getting away with it
28:54 Tier 7: WR5 longshots
31:41 Key question: full-time roles that are dirt cheap in DFS
34:00 Wrapping up

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TIER 1: THE BIG THREE
Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, Christian McCaffrey.
Key question: what does Vegas say about the scoring upside of these offenses? Implied team totals are the reason people were happy to take Gibbs over Bijan at 1.01. Lions 28.3, second on the slate. Falcons 19.3, 28th. 49ers 22.5. Gibbs has averaged 25.1 half PPR points in the eight career games David Montgomery missed or played under 25% of snaps.

TIER 2: NO-DOUBT RB1s
Chase Brown, Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, De'Von Achane, Omarion Hampton, James Cook, Jonathan Taylor.
Key question: which coaching staffs are most willing to leave one back on the field for the whole game? That is the case for Taylor and especially Achane surviving shaky offensive environments. Both staffs simply left them out there last season. Barkley has posted 26-146-2, 29-150-2, 15-118-3 and 21-132-1 rushing lines in four games against Washington since joining the Eagles.

TIER 3: LEAD BACKS WITH SMASHABLE MATCHUPS
Javonte Williams, D'Andre Swift, Travis Etienne, Breece Hall.
Key question: what are the biggest injury situations to monitor at RB? Sixteen of them, from Jeanty's ankle to Kamara's knee. The one that matters most here is Kyle Monangai's knee, which is what puts Swift in a must-start RB1 role against a Panthers defense that ranked 27th in EPA allowed per rush.

TIER 4: YOU'RE STARTING THEM, BUT THERE'S A QUESTION
Kenneth Walker, Kyren Williams, Ashton Jeanty, David Montgomery, Bucky Irving, Cam Skattebo, Jeremiyah Love, Rhamondre Stevenson, Jadarian Price, Quinshon Judkins.
Key question: which backs project extra nicely for receptions against zone-heavy defenses? Backs eat into wide receiver target share against zone, and last season's three most zone-heavy defenses all kept their coordinators: Panthers versus Swift, Seahawks versus Stevenson, Rams versus McCaffrey. Ian likes the over on Stevenson 2.5 and McCaffrey 4.5.

TIER 5: LEAD RUNNING BACKS, PROBABLY
MarShawn Lloyd, Bhayshul Tuten, Rico Dowdle, Jaylen Warren, J.K. Dobbins, Tony Pollard.
Key question: what do RotoWire Projections say about these muddled backfields? Green Bay and Tennessee have clear leaders, Jacksonville tips to Tuten, and Pittsburgh and Denver split close to even. In a tight start/sit call between one of these backs and a WR2 or WR3, Ian is taking the pass catcher.

TIER 6: FLEX OPTIONS
Blake Corum, Jordan Mason, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, TreVeyon Henderson, Chuba Hubbard, Jonathon Brooks, Rachaad White, Kenneth Gainwell, RJ Harvey, Chris Rodriguez, Aaron Jones.
Key question: who has the best and worst matchups in combined RB yards before contact per carry? Best of the week: Rams, Bears and Cowboys. Worst: Browns, Packers and Raiders. It lines up with RotoWire's preseason offensive line ranks.

TIER 7: HANDCUFFS AND DART THROWS
Keaton Mitchell, Mike Washington, Woody Marks, Tyjae Spears, Tyler Allgeier, Ray Davis, Tank Bigsby.
Key question: who are the top five under-rostered handcuffs to stash? All five are available in over 70% of leagues. Tank Bigsby 35% rostered on Yahoo and 19% on ESPN, Brian Robinson 26% and 27%, Kaelon Black 19% and 10%, Ray Davis 16% and 10%, Malik Davis 4% and 3%. Use the bench spot on a back who is one injury from the top of the waiver wire, not on a second kicker.

Full rankings, tiers, the Injury Report and the Draft Assistant are all in the draft kit, linked at the top of this description. Promo code IAN35 takes 35% off.

Timestamps:
0:00 The plan and the seven questions
0:23 Tier 1: The big three
1:17 Key question: what Vegas says about the scoring upside
2:09 Tier 2: No-doubt RB1s
4:46 Key question: which staffs leave one back on the field
5:35 Tier 3: Lead backs with smashable matchups
7:25 Key question: the biggest injury situations to monitor
8:18 Tier 4: You're starting them, but there's a question
11:47 Key question: which backs eat receptions against zone
14:02 Tier 5: Lead running backs, probably
15:51 Key question: what the projections say about the muddled backfields
16:53 Tier 6: FLEX options
20:36 Key question: best and worst matchups in yards before contact
22:00 Tier 7: Handcuffs and dart throws
23:31 Key question: five under-rostered handcuffs to stash
24:19 Wrapping up

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Timestamps:
0:00 The plan and the seven questions
0:28 Tier 1: The dual-threat ballers
2:21 Key question: which o-lines have the most pressure problems
3:38 Tier 2: Plenty of reason for excitement
5:08 Key question: how bad was Drake Maye down the stretch
6:09 Tier 3: Pocket passing gawds in winnable matchups
7:24 Key question: do pocket passers lack high-end upside
8:06 Tier 4: There's QB1 upside if you squint
10:12 Key question: who was most reliant on rushing
11:20 Tier 5: You probably have better options
13:20 Key question: did the Chiefs passing game step forward
14:01 Tier 6: We're saying there's a chance
15:24 Key question: the best DST in fantasy football
15:53 Tier 7: Old dudes and volatile young'uns
17:25 Key question: will the Bears defense struggle early
17:59 Wrapping up

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Brock Bowers or Christian McCaffrey at 1.08? In TE premium, with both guys already sitting on plenty of their teams, the answer was Bowers. From there it was two running backs sooner rather than later, a receiver room built almost entirely between rounds six and nine, and a late-round plan that shores up the backup running backs before touching the onesie positions.

THE FULL SQUAD
1.08 Brock Bowers, TE
Round 2 Omarion Hampton, RB
Round 3 Travis Etienne, RB
Round 4 Tee Higgins, WR
Round 5 Tucker Kraft, TE
Rounds 6 to 9 Mike Evans, DK Metcalf, Quentin Johnston, Makai Lemon
Backup running backs Chris Rodriguez, Tank Bigsby, Brian Robinson, Malik Davis
Quarterbacks Brock Purdy and Jordan Love
Late darts Chris Bell, Oronde Gadsden II, Evan Engram
Ravens DST and Andres Borregales, the Venezuelan Viper

Also in here: why Labor Day weekend is one of the best weekends of the year to draft, what happens to ADP once the grinders move out of the Gorillas and into the Main Event, and the FFPC wrinkle that lets you swap a Wednesday or Thursday game out of your lineup after you have seen the score.

Check out all of Dwain's work at fantasylife.com. Ian and Dwain are live every Sunday night at 8pm ET.

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This is tight end premium, so tight ends get 1.5 points per reception, and it
changes the board completely. Worth saying out loud before you copy anything
here: do not take Brock Bowers this early in your standard home league. The
scoring is doing the work.

THE BUILD

Four running backs and four receivers are gone by the time it gets back around,
Christian McCaffrey slides all the way to the nine behind James Cook and
Jonathan Taylor, and Brock Bowers falls to 1.10. In tight end premium that
decision makes itself.

Straight back to running back after that with Kenneth Walker and Travis Etienne,
then three receivers in a row: Jaylen Waddle, Christian Watson and Parker
Washington. Quentin Johnston and Matthew Golden follow, with Rico Dowdle in
round seven. Five receivers between rounds four and nine, which is the shape
Ian and Dwain talk about wanting every year.

No quarterback at all until round ten, and then it is Jayden Daniels, who both
of them still have as a top-five option at the position. Sam Darnold backs him
up in round seventeen.

Mark Andrews falls to the end of round eleven, which with Bowers already on the
roster in a tight end premium format is close to unfair. Darren Waller gets
tacked on in round nineteen.

The rest of it: Keaton Mitchell in round twelve for the standalone value, Ray
Davis and Brian Robinson Jr. as the handcuffs, then two receivers who went in
the first round of the NFL draft coming late in Jordyn Tyson at fourteen and
Omar Cooper Jr. at sixteen. Ravens defense as always, and Eddy Pineiro mostly
for the free look that FFPC allows.

Timestamps:
0:00 The format: FFPC tight end premium, on the clock at 1.10
0:56 Round 1: Brock Bowers falls to the 1.10
4:34 Round 2: the wall of running backs, and Kenneth Walker
8:03 Is Ashton Jeanty back on the board?
12:05 Round 4: Jaylen Waddle
23:43 Round 5: Christian Watson
28:51 Round 6: Parker Washington
30:12 A tight end run breaks out
38:44 Roster check: two backs and three receivers
39:13 Quentin Johnston
46:13 Matthew Golden, and the Makai Lemon debate
48:50 Round 10: Jayden Daniels
56:04 Round 11: Mark Andrews falls
65:18 Ray Davis, and the handcuff plan
83:52 Kicker, and the FFPC free look
88:51 Round 19: Darren Waller
90:21 The full roster, top to bottom

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Timestamps:
0:00 The premise
0:21 Bold call 1: Javonte Williams leads the NFL in touchdowns
3:16 The last bear case on Javonte is the price
4:21 Bold call 2: Justin Herbert wins MVP
7:17 Bold call 3: Jaylen Waddle finishes as the overall WR5
10:51 Bold call 4: Jared Goff turns in a top five fantasy season
13:37 Bold call 5: Jordan Mason scores double digit touchdowns
16:55 Bold call 6: Brock Bowers is this year's JSN
20:35 What is coming up on the channel

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$1,000,000 is on the line in this FFPC contest, and John Daigle and I decided the
move was tight end premium: get two of the best tight ends in the league locked up
before the rest of the room can react, then build everything else around it.

This is a real, live 17-team draft, not a tape study. We argue through zero-RB
builds, which rookie running backs we trust and which ones we are fading, how deep
the running back room needs to be by the middle rounds, the wide receivers actually
worth fighting for, and why we are in no rush to take a quarterback. Then the draft
opens up into the deep rounds, where the real difference between winning and losing
this format gets made.

If you want to see the picks, watch the draft. This description will not spoil it.

CHAPTERS
0:00 The setup: $1,000,000, the slot, the plan
5:30 Round one: the tight end premium plan locks in
14:00 The zero-RB debate and early roster shape
24:00 Doubling down at tight end before the room reacts
35:00 Rookie running backs: buy or fade
42:00 Filling out the running back room
49:00 The wide receivers worth fighting for
56:00 Running back comps and recent history
63:00 The case for the best tight end room in the league
70:00 The most underrated handcuff still on the board
77:00 Coaching staff red flags across the league
84:00 Quarterback, and why we waited
91:00 A college football detour
98:00 Into the deep rounds: the dart throws start
105:00 Late-round value hunting
112:00 Grading the tight end premium build

Full 2026 rankings, projections and the draft kit: https://www.rotowire.com/?ref=owmwyje
 

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Nine guys sitting on waivers or in the back of your draft queue who should not be there. Every one of them is rostered under 30% on Yahoo and/or ESPN, and I think that gap closes fast once games count. The headline: Tank Bigsby, one injury away from the top of every waiver column. Ray Davis, a pure handcuff that rostership and draft ranks are not treating like one. 

Terrance Ferguson ran a route rate north of 70% in Week 1, which is a top-10 tight end signal as early as Week 2. And the Ravens defense: fifth in my rankings, a real top-six unit by how they finished last season, and still sitting at 58% rostered.

CHAPTERS

0:00 9 players your league isn't drafting

0:20 Tank Bigsby, Eagles handcuff

1:50 Brian Robinson, Falcons handcuff

3:35 Terrance Ferguson, Rams TE

6:17 Kaelon Black, Niners handcuff

8:27 Ray Davis, Bills handcuff

10:05 Devaughn Vele, Saints WR

13:37 Malik Davis, Cowboys handcuff

15:50 Chris Bell, Dolphins WR

17:47 Splash Survivor, two RotoWire contests

18:23 Ravens DST, signing up for a top-six defense

19:30 Four drafts in four days

Full 2026 rankings, projections and the draft kit: https://www.rotowire.com/?ref=owmwyje

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CHAPTERS

0:00 The six trends

0:36 Chargers: outside zone, flip flopped

1:53 Chargers: motion and play action

3:13 Chargers: heavy tight end looks

4:40 Raiders: moving people on the line

6:34 Michael Mayer, the rare No. 2 tight end

8:03 Commanders and Jaguars: two lines nobody likes

9:14 The Commanders pressure problem

10:04 Why I am less concerned about Jacksonville

10:52 Washington is not being creative

12:02 Titans: trouble in paradise

14:15 Daboll's old friends

15:57 Cam Ward has nothing downfield

16:21 More play action for Burrow

17:56 Kudos to Zac Taylor

18:35 Good things from the Giants

20:25 Get the Draft Kit with code IAN35

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CHAPTERS

0:00 The seven rules

0:37 Late-round QB for the win

1:12 Two RBs in the first three rounds

1:40 Five WRs by the end of Round 9

2:37 Late rounds are reserved

2:46 The tight end plan

3:20 Baltimore DST

3:38 Kickers with big legs

4:11 Mock 1: ESPN, half PPR, from the 1.01

13:33 Mock 2: Yahoo, full PPR, from the 1.06

21:52 Mock 3: Sleeper, half PPR, from the 1.12

28:26 The seven rules, one more time

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CHAPTERS

0:00 The one rule

0:36 Tank Bigsby, Philadelphia

3:01 Woody Marks, Houston

5:25 RotoWire Draft Kit, code IAN35

7:06 Ray Davis, Buffalo

9:37 KC Concepcion, Cleveland

13:11 Mike Washington, Las Vegas

14:54 Terrance Ferguson, LA Rams

17:44 Baltimore DST

19:45 Wrap up and what's coming in season

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Six players going significantly earlier in high-stakes FFPC drafts than they are on Yahoo. Millions of dollars ride on the high-stakes crowd being right, so when the money is this far ahead of the public, it is worth a look. Ian Hartitz gives his own rank on each one and says who is right.

Timestamps:

0:00 The plan

0:26 Parker Washington

4:39 Woody Marks

7:50 RotoWire, code IAN35

8:43 KC Concepcion

10:52 Matthew Golden

16:16 How this changes your draft

17:13 Splash Survivor

18:25 Wan'Dale Robinson

22:09 Juwan Johnson

25:25 The draft strategy guide

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Five players whose price moved between August 1 and August 24. For each one Ian Hartitz lays out why they moved up, why the move makes sense, why it does not, and then a verdict on whether the new number is worth paying. 

DE'ZHAUN STRIBLING, WR61 to WR51. A perfect storm of the Ricky Pearsall injury, great camp reports and an awesome preseason: 13 targets and an 11-109-0 line on only 22 routes, plus a drop that could have been a touchdown. The case for is that Kyle Shanahan consistently makes more with less in this passing game, from Richie James to Jauan Jennings to Kendrick Bourne. The case against is that Stribling still profiles as the No. 4 option behind McCaffrey, Mike Evans and George Kittle. BUYING as a borderline WR3. 

JONATHON BROOKS, RB34 to RB29. Good camp reports and a Chuba Hubbard hamstring. Dave Canales says that if Chuba is good to go it will be a committee in Week 1, and Brooks dominated first-team usage in the preseason. But Chuba is not dead, the burst has not looked great, and RotoWire grades that offensive line 29th. SELLING at the Round 5-6 price. J

ACORY CROSKEY-MERRITT, RB40 to RB37. More clarity on the pecking order, and ambiguous backfields inevitably create value once a leader emerges. Washington ranked 5th in scoring in 2025. BUYING as the top back in that backfield. 

MARSHAWN LLOYD, RB58 to RB50. He got through camp healthy, which nobody was assuming, and he is the clear No. 2 in a usually good Green Bay offense at 71% of snaps to Chris Brooks's 29%. BUYING as a great handcuff. 

TERRANCE FERGUSON, TE27 to TE20. Rams tight ends scored the second-most PPR points in the league last season, and Ferguson led all tight ends in yards per reception at 21, with 52% of his targets coming 20-plus yards downfield against 21% for the next closest. BUYING as his favorite late-round tight end click in fantasy. Rankings, tiers and the Draft Assistant are all in the draft kit, linked at the top of this description.

Timestamps:

0:00 The plan

0:25 De'Zhaun Stribling

8:54 Jonathon Brooks

18:43 RotoWire, code IAN35

20:03 Jacory Croskey-Merritt

28:28 MarShawn Lloyd

35:10 Splash Survivor

36:05 Terrance Ferguson

44:10 Wrapping up

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Week 2 of the preseason supplied plenty of answers and plenty of questions. Ian Hartitz goes team by team through all 32, covering the usage and key plays from every quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end room, then gives the one fantasy takeaway that actually matters for each. 

It is still August, so keep your composure out there. Usage matters more than performance in these glorified scrimmages. The point is working out who each team's starters actually are instead of trusting those silly unofficial depth charts. 

Some of what came out of it: 

De'Zhaun Stribling is the headliner. He caught 4 of 5 targets for 46 yards and dropped what could have been a 33-yard touchdown, and the bull case is clear enough that he is up to WR38 for Ian and in play as a Round 7-8 pick. 

Ashton Jeanty luckily avoided long-term injury, but Ian would be hesitant to draft him earlier than Round 3 until there is a timeline for a return. Mike Washington keeps putting together one preseason highlight after another, ripping a 33-yard run and taking a near every-down role at an 85% snap rate. 

RJ Harvey's path to smashing his ADP is to keep on with exactly the receiving goodness he showed, taking a 22-yard touchdown catch and playing every snap alongside Jaylen Waddle and Courtland Sutton. Waddle himself lined up inside on 66% of his snaps, a huge jump from 18% with the Dolphins in 2025. 

Woody Marks took all 10 snaps with the Houston starters for 43 yards and a 20-yard score. Kaelon Black played 83% of snaps with Brock Purdy and four of six third downs. Ja'Kobi Lane looks like Baltimore's No. 3 receiver with Rashod Bateman probably not facing punishment from the NFL. And Jaylen Warren and Rico Dowdle split Pittsburgh's work almost exactly evenly, which keeps both worthwhile in the Round 7-8 range. 

Plus Shedeur Sanders outplaying Deshaun Watson in Cleveland, Chicago leaning into two-tight-end sets, Tyrone Tracy's rough August continuing in New York, and a whole lot more. Rankings, tiers and the Draft Assistant are all in the draft kit, linked at the top of this description.

Timestamps:

0:00 The plan

0:21 Arizona Cardinals

0:51 Atlanta Falcons

2:12 Baltimore Ravens

4:19 Buffalo Bills

5:02 Carolina Panthers

8:13 Chicago Bears

10:55 Cincinnati Bengals

13:12 RotoWire, code IAN35

13:59 Cleveland Browns

17:49 Dallas Cowboys

19:58 Denver Broncos

23:22 Detroit Lions

24:08 Green Bay Packers

27:35 Houston Texans

31:42 Indianapolis Colts

33:01 Jacksonville Jaguars

33:49 DraftKings

35:47 Kansas City Chiefs

39:39 Las Vegas Raiders

46:14 Los Angeles Chargers

49:28 Los Angeles Rams

50:14 Miami Dolphins

52:26 Minnesota Vikings

52:46 New England Patriots

53:45 New Orleans Saints

54:48 New York Giants

56:35 New York Jets

58:29 Philadelphia Eagles

59:23 Pittsburgh Steelers

1:03:12 Splash Survivor

1:04:52 San Francisco 49ers

1:12:33 Seattle Seahawks

1:13:30 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1:15:31 Tennessee Titans

1:18:11 Washington Commanders

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Timestamps:

0:00 The plan

0:14 Quarterback

1:02 Jared Goff

1:34 Kyler Murray

2:58 Running back

3:35 Chase Brown, the RB4

5:02 Rounds 7-10: Steelers and Washington backs

6:23 Jordan Mason

6:40 The handcuffs

7:09 Wide receiver

8:41 Five receivers by round nine

9:01 Receivers, round 3

9:22 Receivers, round 4

9:37 Receivers, round 5

10:06 Receivers, round 6

10:50 Receivers, rounds 7-9

12:05 Receiver sleepers

12:55 Extra deep leagues

13:34 Tight end

15:14 Favorite late-round tight ends

15:53 Kicker

16:40 Defense

17:55 RotoWire, code IAN35

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Ian Hartitz picks his favorite spot in the first round and then proves it, going pick by pick through what is realistically on the board in every round from the 1.01, and then running two live mock drafts to show the roster it actually builds. 

The case for the top of the round is simple. In the first five or six rounds you can find pockets of players you are reasonably confident will be there, and the 1.01 is the only pick nobody can take from you. This year that pick is Jahmyr Gibbs, who has the most crystal clear boom profile in fantasy football: a player in his prime, in an offense finally willing to feed him a workhorse role, with no David Montgomery in Detroit to worry about any more. And Bills aside, the Lions have been the most consistent high-scoring offense of the last five years.

Timestamps:

0:00 Where you want to be picking

0:23 Why the 1.01 is the pick

1:02 Round 1: who is actually on the board

1:56 Round 2

4:54 Round 3

6:39 Round 4: the receiver pocket

8:58 Round 5

11:23 Round 6 and the elite QB question

18:18 The build you end up with

20:18 RotoWire, code IAN35

21:34 Mock draft 1, from the 1.01

29:59 Splash Survivor

31:54 Mock draft 2, from the 1.04

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One favorite pick in every round, rounds 1 through 10, off Yahoo ADP in full PPR. For each one Ian Hartitz gives the case, the other names he is happy to take at that price, and the players he is fading there. Ten rounds, because Yahoo's base leagues are 10 teams and it gets wonky after that. 

Timestamps:

0:00 The plan: every round, full PPR

0:34 Round 1: Jahmyr Gibbs

2:56 Round 2: Chase Brown

7:26 Round 3: AJ Brown

13:50 Round 4: Colston Loveland

20:35 RotoWire, code IAN35

22:53 Round 5: Luther Burden

27:47 Round 6: Christian Watson

34:15 Round 7: The Steelers RB

38:15 DraftKings

40:13 Round 8: Parker Washington

42:02 Round 9: Chris Godwin

45:45 Round 10: Jared Goff

49:44 Splash Survivor

50:42 Best remaining, round 11 and beyond

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Timestamps:

0:00 The premise: every starting RB takes a vacation

0:57 RB1 TreVeyon Henderson, Patriots

1:55 RB2 Blake Corum, Rams

2:56 RB3 Tank Bigsby, Eagles

5:39 RB4 Ray Davis, Bills

7:58 RotoWire, code IAN35

8:47 RB5 Rico Dowdle, Steelers

11:36 RB6 Kyle Monangai, Bears

13:21 RB7 Rachaad White, Commanders

15:38 RB8 Woody Marks, Texans

18:19 RB9 Mike Washington, Raiders

21:10 RB10 Jonathon Brooks, Panthers

24:27 RB11 Kenneth Gainwell, Buccaneers

27:05 RB12 Brian Robinson, Falcons

29:10 RB13 Tyler Allgeier, Cardinals

31:27 RB14 Jordan Mason, Vikings

33:04 RB15 Chris Rodriguez, Jaguars

35:13 RB16 Isiah Pacheco, Lions

38:11 DraftKings

40:08 RB17 MarShawn Lloyd, Packers

42:17 RB18 RJ Harvey, Broncos

44:48 RB19 Keaton Mitchell, Chargers

46:36 RB20 Alvin Kamara, Saints

49:03 RB21 Tyjae Spears, Titans

50:43 RB22 Dylan Sampson, Browns

53:08 RB23 Braelon Allen, Jets

54:51 RB24 Emmett Johnson, Chiefs

57:25 Splash Survivor

58:20 RB25 Kaelon Black, 49ers

59:54 RB26 Jaydon Blue, Cowboys

1:01:55 RB27 Tyrone Tracy, Giants

1:03:40 RB28 Jaylen Wright, Dolphins

1:05:20 RB29 Samaje Perine, Bengals

1:07:08 RB30 Seth McGowan, Colts

1:08:36 RB31 Adam Randall, Ravens

1:09:58 RB32 George Holani, Seahawks

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KC Concepcion is the headliner. A great preseason debut, lightning in a bottle as an all-purpose weapon, and Todd Monken's new Zay Flowers. The market has him between WR50 and WR63; Ian has him WR46 at pick 99, inside his top 100 and well ahead of all three sites. The one catch is that it would be a lot cooler if this team had a quarterback. 

Matthew Golden is the favorite to work alongside Christian Watson in two-receiver sets, and Ian's WR44 ahead of Makai Lemon, Xavier Worthy and Alec Pierce. 361 receiving yards as a rookie is light, but he had competition and a shoulder issue, and if we trust Love and LaFleur we should probably like the cheapest clear-cut starter too. 

Rashid Shaheed got three years and $51 million to be New Orleans' No. 2, and Darnold and Goff are the only quarterbacks over 4,000 yards in each of the last two seasons. Ian's WR53, though he thinks the price sits closer to Shaheed's floor than his ceiling. 

Tre' Harris is the value: WR74 on Sleeper and undrafted on both ESPN and Yahoo. Per ESPN's camp reporting the Chargers are not planning to add a veteran receiver, he rested alongside Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston, and in eight games at Ole Miss in 2024 he put up 1,000 yards and seven scores. Ian's WR58. 

And Travis Hunter, where the answer depends entirely on the price. The No. 2 pick from last year's draft is often free, everything out of Jacksonville says he stays involved, and if there was ever a high-end receiver handcuff to keep on your bench this is it. But at the Sleeper price he's fine and inside the top 120 Ian is out. 

Rankings, tiers and the Draft Assistant are all at RotoWire. Use code IAN35 for 35% off any subscription: https://www.rotowire.com/?ref=owmwyje

Timestamps:

0:00 Sleepers outside the top 120

0:42 KC Concepcion

4:07 RotoWire, code IAN35

4:49 Matthew Golden

9:42 Rashid Shaheed

13:53 Tre' Harris

20:02 Splash Survivor

21:22 Travis Hunter

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It is August, so keep your composure out there. Usage matters more than performance in these glorified scrimmages. The point is working out who each team's starters actually are instead of trusting those silly unofficial depth charts. 

Some of what came out of it: 

Jeremiyah Love hit his signature hurdle inside his first 30 minutes of football and looked the part as the No. 3 overall pick, but he has a high ankle sprain and is not expected to play again this preseason, which does drop him down the ranks. 

MarShawn Lloyd was THE running back in Green Bay with Josh Jacobs and Chris Brooks out, playing all 12 snaps of the first two drives. Tank Bigsby played every snap of Philadelphia's first three drives with Saquon out and, encouragingly, was not taken off the field on pass downs. Washington fed rookie Kaytron Allen 23 carries, which is a wild number for a preseason game. 

In Buffalo the real story might not be DJ Moore, whose ankle is a genuine worry, but Khalil Shakir finally getting downfield usage. Cincinnati leaned into under-center play action on 43% of Joe Burrow's dropbacks after doing so on just 8.3% of them last season. Chicago's Luther Burden was moving laterally a week after the groin injury, and Ian is buying the dip. 

Plus Anthony Richardson's full first half in Indianapolis, Emmett Johnson and Cyrus Allen in Kansas City, KC Concepcion moving up to WR46, whether Fernando Mendoza should just start Week 1 in Las Vegas, and a whole lot more. 

Rankings, tiers and the Draft Assistant are all at RotoWire. Use code IAN35 for 35% off any subscription: https://www.rotowire.com/?ref=owmwyje

Timestamps:

0:00 The plan

0:31 Arizona Cardinals

4:12 Atlanta Falcons

7:35 RotoWire, code IAN35

8:25 Baltimore Ravens

12:04 Buffalo Bills

17:49 Carolina Panthers

20:49 Chicago Bears

22:14 Cincinnati Bengals

25:43 Cleveland Browns

30:30 Dallas Cowboys

32:41 Denver Broncos

36:09 Detroit Lions

37:03 Green Bay Packers

40:13 Houston Texans

41:34 Indianapolis Colts

44:36 Jacksonville Jaguars

45:07 Kansas City Chiefs

49:09 Las Vegas Raiders

53:15 DraftKings

55:12 Los Angeles Chargers

57:18 Los Angeles Rams

59:31 Miami Dolphins

1:03:12 Minnesota Vikings

1:05:56 New England Patriots

1:08:29 New Orleans Saints

1:10:13 New York Giants

1:14:21 New York Jets

1:16:55 Philadelphia Eagles

1:18:26 Pittsburgh Steelers

1:20:01 San Francisco 49ers

1:21:56 Seattle Seahawks

1:23:00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1:24:55 Tennessee Titans

1:27:02 Washington Commanders

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Father Time is undefeated, and the overwhelming majority of top fantasy performers have been under 30. So Ian Hartitz takes the 10 veterans he keeps getting yelled at about, works out how bright the red flags actually are, scores every one of them on the WASHED SCALE out of 10, and figures out who benefits if the player really is finished. 

Rankings, articles and the Draft Assistant are all at RotoWire. Use code IAN20 for 20% off any subscription: https://www.rotowire.com/?ref=owmwyje

Timestamps:

0:00 The washed scale, explained

0:33 No. 1 Alvin Kamara

4:42 RotoWire, code IAN20

5:32 No. 2 Mike Evans

10:37 No. 3 Davante Adams

16:18 No. 4 Christian McCaffrey

20:03 No. 5 Aaron Rodgers

24:57 No. 6 DJ Moore

32:07 No. 7 Geno Smith

38:35 Splash Survivor

40:15 No. 8 Mark Andrews

44:52 No. 9 JK Dobbins

50:09 No. 10 Travis Kelce

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If you have never done one, this is the episode to start with. If you have done twenty, Drew has been doing them for 25 years and still has to work at keeping up with the room. 

Rankings, tiers and the Draft Assistant are all at RotoWire. Use code IAN20 for 20% off any subscription: https://www.rotowire.com/?ref=owmwyje

Timestamps:

0:00 Talking auctions with Drew Davenport

1:20 The biggest mistake new auction drafters make

5:32 Chill or pounce in the first few picks?

9:02 Nominating strategy

14:31 Stars and scrubs, or balanced?

18:58 RotoWire, code IAN20

19:32 The par sheet

23:28 What changes from a snake draft

28:10 Lawyer hat on: the Josh Jacobs update

31:33 How to prep in 10 minutes

34:26 Wrapping up

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Matthew was at every single practice of the quarterback competition and charted every pass, so this is what he saw with his own eyes rather than what the box score says. 

Some of what came out of it: 

Kyler Murray is QB1, and it was a real competition that was not close. The total rep count over about nine hard practices came out 50/50, which is not what a locked-in starter's camp looks like, but Murray played par golf across those nine holes and J.J. McCarthy was five over. Murray moves through his progressions faster and the accuracy gap is the thing that decided it. 

On Justin Jefferson: the camp looks much more like 2022 through 2024 than last season. Ian's numbers have Murray at a 9% better catchable ball rate to receivers than what Jefferson dealt with last year, over the first five weeks with screens removed. And the two plays Matthew keeps coming back to are a fourth-down heave that he calls a bad throw, which Jefferson goes and wins anyway, and a deep corner where the ball was gone before Jefferson had even broken. 

On the middle of the field: there are always going to be realities to Murray's size. But when he sees it and throws on time he was something like 30 for 41 in the intermediate middle in 2024. It just was not a high percentage of his passes, and Kevin O'Connell's job is building the throwing lanes for it. 

Jordan Addison is in a prove-it year with an extension in front of him, off a season with more drops than he has ever had. Jauan Jennings might be the second best receiver Murray has ever played with, and he is the WR3 here. 

Plus the backfield, where Matthew clears up a quote of his that went around the fantasy world in a form he did not say, the rookie Demond Claiborne, and a bold call to finish. 

Follow Matthew at @MatthewColler, read him at Purple Insider, and pick up "Football Is a Numbers Game". 

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Timestamps:

0:00 Talking Vikings with Matthew Coller

1:22 Was it ever really a quarterback competition?

5:19 How Matthew actually scored it

10:54 Is the Kyler and Jettas connection back?

14:17 Can Kyler work the middle of the field?

17:51 Jordan Addison's prove-it year

21:21 Jauan Jennings, T.J. Hockenson and the target math

27:05 The Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones committee

30:36 What to make of Demond Claiborne

33:29 Matthew's bold call

35:56 Wrapping up

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Boots on the ground beats a depth chart. Eli has been at camp, so this is what he has seen with his own eyes rather than what the box score says. 

Some of what came out of it: 

MarShawn Lloyd looks explosive and is making plays as a receiver, and with Josh Jacobs out he is the running back right now. He played 11 snaps in the one preseason game and turned them into four targets and six rush attempts, and he is still basically free at the end of Yahoo and ESPN drafts. 

When Jacobs is back it stays his show, especially at the goal line, but Eli does not rule out something closer to a committee than the last two years. LaFleur has the history for it, going back to Dion Lewis and Derrick Henry in Tennessee and then Jones, Williams and Dillon in Green Bay. 

On the receivers: Doubs and Wicks leaving has cleared the room out. When Eli was at camp, Matthew Golden looked like Jordan Love's first read on roughly 70% of plays. Watson is still his top target, Golden his next, then Reed. And the Jayden Reed two-tight-end dream has a hard number attached to it: Fantasy Points has him at one career target in those looks. 

On the offense: LaFleur has emphasized getting to the line faster, and he told NFL Network that Love is the best pre-snap processor at calling out protections he has been around, Rodgers included. 

And Tucker Kraft, back from the knee, passed the eye test. Eli calls him "a legitimate psychopath, in the best way possible", has him TE4 for 2026 behind Bowers, McBride and Loveland, and says he is the one Packer he wants in his drafts this year. 

Plus a bold call to finish that has nothing to do with Green Bay. 

Follow Eli at @BookOfEli_NFL, read him at 247 Sports and Packer Report, and listen to the Pack-A-Day Podcast. 

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Timestamps:

0:00 Talking Packers with Eli Berkovits

1:46 Has MarShawn Lloyd looked like the real deal?

3:59 Could LaFleur go back to a committee?

7:09 Will Jayden Reed finally play in two tight end sets?

8:49 Has the receiver room consolidated?

15:12 More pace and more passing this season?

20:08 Tucker Kraft after the knee

23:09 Eli's bold call

24:31 Wrapping up

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Using Yahoo ADP for the first five rounds in a full PPR league with two RBs and three WRs, the shape of the board at the turn is the whole story. Ian calls it the Great Wall of RBs: a few receivers go inside the first seven or eight picks, and then Cook, Jeanty, Achane, Walker and Henry come off the board in a run, with only a couple of receivers creeping into that range. 

That is why he is happy to double-tap running back from these spots. Could Jefferson and Lamb boom and make it look silly? Sure. But one is not guaranteed a better quarterback situation than the one that made him a WR3 last season, and the other has a non-zero chance of being the second most productive receiver in his own offense. Give him James Cook, Saquon Barkley or Chase Brown instead. 

Also covered: why Brock Bowers is a round 2 target rather than a pick at this turn, where Colston Loveland fits in the early part of round 4, the receiver values in rounds 3 and 4, and when a mid-round quarterback makes sense. 

Then the three mocks: 1.09, the elite tight end build. James Cook and Chase Brown to open, Malik Nabers in round 3, then Colston Loveland at pick 40, with Kyler Murray waiting all the way until 136. 

1.11, the hero RB build. Jonathan Taylor alone at running back early, then Justin Jefferson, DeVonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle and Mike Evans stacked up, with Rico Dowdle money-balling the RB2 spot and Isaiah Likely at tight end late. 

1.12, the RB-RB build. Chase Brown and Saquon Barkley at the turn, three receivers behind them, and a more balanced middle-round approach at quarterback and tight end with Trevor Lawrence and Isaiah Likely. All three finished teams are shown side by side at the end. 

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Timestamps:

0:00 The setup: drafting from 1.09 to 1.12

0:28 The draft board, Yahoo ADP rounds 1 to 5

0:46 The Great Wall of RBs

1:13 Why I'm off the receivers at the turn

2:40 Where Brock Bowers fits

4:26 Rounds 1 and 2: double-tap running back

5:02 Rounds 3 and 4: receivers, or Loveland

5:39 Rounds 5 and 6, and the moral of the story

7:39 If and then: where you go next

11:11 Mock draft 1, from the 1.09

21:53 Mock draft 2, from the 1.11

31:42 Mock draft 3, from the 1.12

39:50 All three teams compared

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There is a lot more money flying around in NFFC and FFPC than in ESPN and Yahoo leagues. Maybe that means we should follow it, maybe it does not. That is the question this video works through, one player at a time. And as Ian says up top: a player being on this list does not mean you cannot be in on him this year. It is still early August.

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Timestamps:

0:00 The setup: home league ADP vs high-stakes ADP

0:35 Jaxson Dart, Giants QB

8:19 Davante Adams, Rams WR

14:04 Josh Jacobs, Packers RB

19:34 Alvin Kamara, Saints RB

24:35 Sam LaPorta, Lions TE

31:06 Wrapping up

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Boots on the ground beats a depth chart. John has been at every practice, so this is training camp intel on the questions that actually decide your draft: who is even the RB1 here, whether last year's No. 2 overall pick is going to play enough offense to matter, and which receiver in a genuinely loaded room has earned Trevor Lawrence's trust. 

Some of what came out of it: 

The running back committee may not have an RB1 at all. At the team scrimmage Bhayshul Tuten worked between the 20s, Chris Rodriguez handled short yardage and LeQuint Allen was out there on basically every third down. Rodriguez is fully healthy again and John is not writing off his role. 

On Travis Hunter, the raw camp reps tell the story. ESPN's Mike DiRocco has tracked him at around 90 11-on-11 reps at cornerback against 50-something at receiver. He is still going to play real offense, and this year he is being used outside and down the field rather than parked in the slot on screens. 

Parker Washington has been the top connection of camp, and John thinks his 2026 can beat any season Christian Kirk gave this offense, Kirk's best being 84-1108-8 back in 2022. 

Plus Brian Thomas Jr.'s much better camp, a real uptick in multi tight end looks with Nate Boerkircher freeing up Brenton Strange, and a bold call to finish. 

Follow John at @_John_Shipley and read his work at Jaguars on SI. 

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Timestamps:

0:00 Talking Jaguars with John Shipley

0:52 Is there an RB1? Tuten, Rodriguez and LeQuint Allen

5:07 How much will Travis Hunter actually play on offense?

8:46 Parker Washington and the Trevor Lawrence connection

11:59 Has Brian Thomas Jr. turned it around?

15:46 Multi tight end sets, Strange and Boerkircher

17:47 Year two of Lawrence and Liam Coen

20:28 John's bold call

21:23 Wrapping up

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Timestamps:

0:00 The setup: Pros vs Joes, and why the gap matters in August

0:46 Christian Watson, Packers

6:59 Parker Washington, Jaguars

13:22 Quentin Johnston, Chargers

19:55 Jayden Higgins, Texans

22:35 RJ Harvey, Broncos

31:27 Kenny Gainwell, Buccaneers

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Timestamps:

0:00 The setup: sleepers going round 10 or later

0:11 Jonathon Brooks, Panthers

4:44 Jordan Mason, Vikings

10:59 Tank Bigsby, Eagles

16:04 Chris Rodriguez Jr., Jaguars

20:13 Keaton Mitchell, Chargers

24:15 All five, recapped

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Timestamps:

0:00 The setup: who qualifies as a bust candidate

0:41 Justin Jefferson

4:47 Tetairoa McMillan

9:48 Emeka Egbuka

16:42 Jaylen Waddle

22:53 Terry McLaurin

29:56 Every bust factor, recapped

It's a great day to be great.

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Timestamps:

0:00 The premise: talking ourselves out of the first round

0:39 1.01 Jahmyr Gibbs (1/10)

3:45 1.02 Bijan Robinson (2/10)

6:56 1.03 Ja'Marr Chase (1/10)

8:25 1.04 Puka Nacua (2/10)

12:27 1.05 Christian McCaffrey (4/10)

16:15 1.06 Jaxon Smith-Njigba (3/10)

19:29 1.07 Jonathan Taylor (6/10)

25:45 1.08 Amon-Ra St. Brown (3/10)

28:02 1.09 CeeDee Lamb (5/10)

30:53 1.10 Justin Jefferson (7/10)

35:56 1.11 James Cook (4/10)

38:38 1.12 De'Von Achane (8/10)

41:33 Every concern level, recapped

It's a great day to be great

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The case for a premium tight end pick is the part most people miss. Over the last decade, tight end has been far and away the best position at overcoming a bad offensive environment. Top-12 fantasy finishers who came from bottom-10 scoring offenses: 24 tight ends (20%), 14 running backs (11.7%), 12 wide receivers (10%), and just 4 quarterbacks (3.3%). That is why a shaky Raiders offense does not scare Ian off Bowers, and why the depth at quarterback this year makes spending up at tight end so much easier to stomach. 

From there it is rounds 3 through 6 hammering the wide receiver tier, rounds 7 through 10 building the RB2 room in the aggregate, and round 11 onward grabbing the quarterback everyone else reached for. 

Then two mocks, every pick explained. 

MOCK DRAFT 1 QB Brock Purdy | RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Tony Pollard | WR Nico Collins, Zay Flowers, Jaylen Waddle | TE Brock Bowers | FLEX Parker Washington Bench: Rachaad White, Blake Corum, Rashid Shaheed, Jared Goff, Tank Bigsby, Isiah Pacheco, Jaydon Blue 

MOCK DRAFT 2 QB Jared Goff | RB Christian McCaffrey, Javonte Williams | WR Jaylen Waddle, Davante Adams, Christian Watson | TE Brock Bowers | FLEX Parker Washington Bench: Rico Dowdle, Jordan Mason, Josh Downs, Kyler Murray, Tank Bigsby, Mike Washington, Kaelon Black 

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Timestamps:

0:00 The plan

0:25 Round 1: lock a stud RB

0:59 Round 2: Brock Bowers

3:39 Why tight end beats a bad offense

5:29 Rounds 3-6: feast on the WR tier

7:29 Rounds 7-10: build the RB2 room

12:01 Round 11+: the year of late-round QB

13:15 The rules, recapped

14:10 Mock draft 1

26:34 Mock draft 2

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More of Zac's work: https://www.theathletic.com 

Follow Zac on X: @AkronJackson

Timestamps:

0:00 Intro

1:18 Q1: Is there any hope for better than mediocre under center?

5:38 Q2: Is Quinshon Judkins a true three-down workhorse?

9:57 Q3: Are Concepcion and Boston already the best WRs here?

13:36 Q4: Is Jerry Jeudy still a Brown at the end of this year?

16:31 Q5: Should Harold Fannin be the star of this offense?

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Timestamps:

0:00 Intro — how the Vegas ranks work

0:29 1. Rams

1:14 2. Bills

1:59 3. Bengals

2:52 4. Lions

3:59 5. Ravens

6:03 6. Cowboys

6:55 7. 49ers

7:54 8. Packers

9:56 9. Seahawks

10:57 10. Bears

12:19 11. Chiefs

15:18 12. Chargers

16:17 13. Patriots

17:38 14. Eagles

19:34 15. Jaguars

20:51 16. Commanders

22:14 17. Colts

25:38 18. Buccaneers

27:29 19. Texans

29:34 20. Vikings

32:34 21. Broncos

34:12 22. Giants

35:52 23. Saints

38:32 24. Steelers

41:06 25. Falcons

43:45 26. Panthers

45:19 27. Titans

46:59 28. Raiders

49:51 29. Dolphins

53:24 30. Browns

55:25 31. Cardinals

58:45 32. Jets

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Timestamps:

0:00 The rules: no easy outs

0:25 Fade No. 6 — Travis Etienne

4:36 Fade No. 5 — Bucky Irving

8:12 Fade No. 4 — Rashee Rice

14:38 Fade No. 3 — DJ Moore

19:54 Fades No. 2 & 1 — the Jets 2-for-1 (Garrett Wilson...)

22:06 ...and Breece Hall

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Timestamps:

0:00 Intro

1:27 Q1: Round 2 Brock Bowers ... in this economy?

7:09 Q2: Everyone is doubting Trey McBride. Should we?

12:50 Q3: Is Colston Loveland the dynasty TE1 by next year?

17:18 Q4: Are we underrating Tyler Warren's elite-season upside?

24:23 Q5: Pitts, Kraft, LaPorta or Fannin: choose your fighter

39:35 Q6: Kittle, Andrews, Goedert, Kelce: which unc still has it?

46:17 Q7: Kincaid, Likely, Chig: full-time roles or fugazi?

53:48 Q8: Are you drinking the Terrance Ferguson Kool-Aid?

56:38 Q9: One deep-pull TE to stash

58:55 Q10: Early, mid or late at tight end this year?

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0:00 Intro

0:29 Tier 1: The TE1 (Brock Bowers)

7:14 Tier 2: Overall TE1 upside (Loveland, McBride, Warren)

20:24 Tier 3: Fans, but at least one concern

32:14 Tier 4: Top-5 upside after a Kona Big Wave or three

50:36 Tier 5: Week 2 waiver-wire cover candidates

1:00:06 Tier 6: We live on a rock in space. Maybe this works!

1:07:12 Tier 7: No way ... absolutely no way ... but maybe

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0:00 The reigning ranking champion of the world

2:00 How many WRs go before McCaffrey?

2:38 The Jonathan Taylor surprise

5:05 Amon-Ra + the Lions target math

7:25 The Super-Bowers draft strategy

9:19 New QBs: Jefferson vs London vs A.J. Brown

12:45 Kyle Pitts fraud alert

16:39 Who is this year's JSN?

20:41 The Jaylen Waddle league-winner case

23:49 Upside WR2s: Flowers + McConkey

26:04 Rashee Rice: worth the risk?

28:11 Evans, McLaurin or Adams?

33:17 Tyler Warren = Brock Bowers lite

34:57 Year-3 verdicts: Odunze, BTJ + Marvin Harrison Jr.

44:08 Boone's most-drafted: Watson + Tate

47:06 The fades: Sutton + DK Metcalf

48:52 Two sleepers outside the top 50

52:07 Disgusting longshot predictions

57:17 The bold call: Waddle top-7

59:55 Wrap-up

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0:00 Intro

0:35 Tier 1: Stone cold baller WR1s

4:20 Tier 2: Overall WR1 upside (Jefferson, AJB, Lamb, Collins, London)

16:07 Tier 3: High-volume WR1s & overqualified WR2s

32:00 Tier 4: The upside is clear ... but we have questions

41:37 Tier 5: We're saying there's a chance

49:05 Tier 6: Would WR2 numbers really surprise?

1:00:42 Tier 7: Keeping a candle lit

1:09:50 Tier 8: Favorite late-round sleepers

1:15:11 Tier 9: They won't work out, but imagine if they did

It's a great day to be great.

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0:00 - Intro: the year of the running back

2:54 - Q1: Jahmyr Gibbs or Bijan Robinson at 1.01?

6:57 - Q2: Are CMC and Jonathan Taylor worth round-1 picks?

12:03 - Q3: The Great Wall of RBs (picks 11-18) — who to want, who to fear

20:43 - Q4: The round-3 crossroads — dawgs in bad offenses vs boring vets

28:58 - Q5: Rounds 4-5 — red flags everywhere (Skattebo, Judkins, Tuten, Monty)

37:12 - Q6: Any reason to click Pollard, Hubbard, or RJ Harvey?

42:18 - Q7: Two chips on the cheap backfields (Warren + Croskey-Merritt)

48:24 - Q8: Favorite late-round handcuffs

52:50 - Q9: The 2026 RB draft strategy — hero RB for the win

56:22 - Q10: John's most underrated vacation spots in America

1:00:40 - Wrap-up: what's coming next week

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0:00 One key storyline for all 32 teams

0:33 Cardinals — the backup RB battle behind Jeremiah Love

1:44 Falcons — the WR2 job is open

2:47 Ravens — is Rashod Bateman locked in?

4:54 Bills — the Dalton Kincaid unleash scenario

6:45 Panthers — Jonathon Brooks vs Chuba Hubbard

8:26 Bears — the REAL WR1 battle

9:53 Bengals — Erick All TE1 season?

11:44 Browns — Watson vs Shedeur

13:41 Cowboys — RB2 behind Javonte

14:47 Broncos — the three-headed backfield question

17:26 Lions — is Pacheco the clear-cut RB2?

19:05 Packers — how healthy is Tucker Kraft?

21:24 Texans — the Tank Dell comeback

23:00 Colts — Alec Pierce's ankle + the pecking order

25:47 Jaguars — Bhayshul Tuten RB1 SZN?

29:16 Chiefs — the unsettled RB2 (Kareem Hunt watch)

30:56 Chargers — Hampton: workhorse or committee?

33:08 Rams — Terrance Ferguson, WR3 + TE1 at once?

34:28 Raiders — Fernando Mendoza by Week 6

38:00 Dolphins — who's the handcuff for Achane?

40:03 Vikings — Kyler Murray vs J.J. McCarthy

42:48 Patriots — TreVeyon Henderson vs Rhamondre

45:11 Saints — the Kamara / Etienne split

46:47 Giants — how healthy is Malik Nabers?

48:12 Jets — Kenyon Sadiq vs Mason Taylor

50:03 Eagles — is Makai Lemon the clear WR2?

52:26 Steelers — the Warren / Dowdle split

53:40 49ers — the CMC handcuff derby

55:14 Seahawks — Jadarian Price: workhorse or split?

58:11 Buccaneers — Bucky Irving's role

1:00:47 Titans — the Daboll rotation

1:02:08 Commanders — Rachaad White vs Bill Croskey-Merritt

1:06:30 Wrap-up

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0:00 - Intro

0:20 - Tier 1: Your Draft's First Two Picks

1:36 - Tier 2: The Best Fantasy RB of All Time

4:56 - Tier 3: Choose Your RB1 Fighter

22:05 - Tier 4: Boring Veterans Pay the Bills

29:13 - Tier 5: There's Upside... and Questions

42:54 - Tier 6: Zero-RB Heroes

50:55 - Tier 7: All-Star Handcuffs & Cheap Starters

57:27 - Tier 8: We're Saying There's a Chance

1:03:35 - Tier 9: Late-Round Darts

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00:00 Intro

00:16 Tier 1: Josh Allen alone at the top

02:03 Tier 2: Overall QB1 upside

09:00 Tier 3: Sky-high ceiling quarterbacks

24:22 Tier 4: At least one red flag

32:43 Tier 5: Premier pocket passers

37:31 Tier 6: Run Forrest run

41:25 Tier 7: We’ve seen QB1 upside before

47:21 Tier 8: Superflex QB3 / best ball depth

51:23 Final tier: What if they hit, but probably won’t?

57:08 Final thoughts

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0:00 The 10 biggest QB questions of 2026

2:23 Q: Is Josh Allen worth a Round 3 pick?

9:25 Jayden Daniels' price after a monster year

11:40 Daniels vs Jaxson Dart — is there really a four-round gap?

13:27 Drake Maye's breakout case

16:30 The best QB not named Tom Brady is cheaper than ever

20:33 Cheaper versions of the expensive QBs (Herbert tier)

28:14 Is Mahomes still THE guy?

35:43 Brock Purdy + Jared Goff: the value tier

39:07 The Jaxson Dart conversation

43:49 Baker Mayfield keeps doing it

46:52 Kyler Murray's falling price

50:28 Cam Ward + Bryce Young: year-two verdicts

55:08 Backup QBs worth a stash

59:54 How to draft the position in 2026

1:01:45 Q: What's the best way to approach QB in superflex?

1:06:44 Where to find Rich's work

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