3- BCBC Strategy

6- Minimum Bet Strategy

15- “Value” in a contest

22- 3 reliable winners

33- Risk pyramid

34- Playing Doubles 

37- Playing Exactas

45- The last race

59- How Matt won the BCBC

4- “Bettor” Way of Thinking

10- Blackjack or Wheel of Fortune

12- Knowing your opponent

19- Addressing your weaknesses

22- Picking your spots

27- Set a target and play with monopoly money

45- 2>1

1:00 - Looking for Sunday Silence vs Easy Goer

2:00 Video Workouts

7:40 Riders in workouts

10:00 Working in company 

15:00 Young horses and gate works

19:00 Multiple gate drills

22:00 Misleading bullets

28:00 Gate works for older horses

30:00 Works after layoffs

33:00 Workout spacing

35:00 Turf workouts

38:00 Synthetic tracks

44:00 Good movers

47:00 Spotting issues

51:00 Watching races

1:30 Horseplayer origin story

22:30 Life of a clocker

29:00 Works in context

35:00 How to watch a work

38:00 Fast works

48:00 Staying objective

54:00 Workout ratings

59:00 First time starters

1:08 Horse > trainer stats

1:11 Read the comments

1: Measuring the Impact of CAWs

12: Del Mar Change to Win Pool

19: Recommended Changes by Industry

34: Kentucky Downs Rant 

38: The Case for Lowering Takeout

44: Source Market Fees

1:00 Raising Minimum Wagers

1:10 Peak Racing – 1968

1:12 How Today’s Players Can Compete

1:14 Simplify, Simplify, Simplify

1:20 Improving Betting Skills and Tools

1:23 Embracing Chaos

1:28 Recency Bias

1:30 Beyond Picking Winners

1:35 Target Lower Takeout Pools

1:40 Price Discovery Challenges

1:44 Responding to Tote Signals

2:00 Need to Adapt and Evolve

2:02 Gaming Revenue a Double-Edged Sword

2:06 Hong Kong Model

2 Del Mar Win Pool

6 CAW Basics

12 Computer Modeling Basics

26 Betting – The CAW Way

35 Rebates and Takeout

50 Price (in)stability

57 Betting Exchanges

59 Game is No Longer Local

1:02 Price Discovery

1:06 Wagering Trends

1:15 More efficient pools

2 - Horses for Courses

4 - Factors baked into price

6 - Trip handicapping

7 - Workouts

21 - Making a morning line

23 - Finding an edge

28 - Vertical bets

31 - Horizontal bets

39 - Trifectas

41 - Weak favorites

46 - CAWs and NYRA win pool

59 - Best advice for players

3 - horseplayer origin story

12 - Why Saratoga is a special place

19 - Saratoga Turf Sprints

24 - The one-mile Wilson Chute

30 - Kickback

35 - Saratoga Turf Course

37 - Off tracks

40 - Off-the-turf races

42 - 2yo races

50 - Trusting your gut

53 - Pointing to Saratoga

57- Saratoga class droppers

2- Losing your edge

5- Comeback time

7- How CAWs pulled him back into the game

9- Deciphering the CAWs

17- Turning a spread race into a single

24- Even Alan Woods listens to the tote

26- The rule of 3

35- P4 ticket structure example

42- Playing with a smaller bankroll

44- When 3 > 5

52- When dessert is healthier than the main course

55- Addition by subtraction

1:00- Sizing bets based on bankroll 

1:01- Withdrawing big scores from your bankroll

1:05- How to tell when you are the sucker at the table

1:14- A lesson from Picasso

1:20- Changing and evolving with the game

2- Horseplayer Origin Story

9- First Trip to the Track

11- Hooked by BC telecast

15- A “Greenwood” education

17- Finding “weird” horses

23- How Mason Malmuth ended his poker career

24- How Mark Cramer taught me to make an odds line

26- How Maury Wolff taught me about takeout and rebates

29- Getting started with thoroughbreds at Mountaineer 

32- Greening up on Betfair

39- How ITP taught me that I wasn’t crazy

40- “Angling” with success

46- Harnessing angles

49- Betting patterns

54- Inverse “value” betting

1:02 – Silver Charm and Devil’s Bag

3 – Win bets

9- Place and Show bets

16- Exacta Bets

34- Doubles, Exactas, and tris

39 - $1 min Derby Super Bets

1:00 – Horizontal Bets

1:16 – Pressing a “live” P5 

1:23 – Having a plan 

3 – General approach to Derby

8- Finding a key horse or horses

20 – Impact of the Derby Points System

23- Finding the “push button” horse

26 – Getting the Derby Distance

38- Finding signal in all the Derby noise

47- Running styles, post-position, and trips

1:01 – Great Derby rides by Jerry Bailey

1:08 – The dreaded rail post position

1:16 – The Trainer factor

1:32 – Workouts

1 - Bad favorites are your best friend

5 - Multiplying value of a bad favorite

10 - A basket of wagers

19 - Super High-5

22 - Betting smaller pools

25 - Keying a value play

27 - Exactas

31- Saver exacta – yes or no?

39 - Betting to place – just say no

44 - Verticals vs horizontals

47 - Takeout vs “mistakeout”

57 - Race selection

1:07 - Depth of field

1:14 - The biggest mistake

2 – Anatomy of a bad ticket

10 – Building Equity

19 – Understanding Usage

21- Separating from the crowd

29- Leveraging a bad favorite 

33- The right way to spread

35- Quality Control

49 – Exploiting biases in sequences

59 – Understanding the crowd

1:08 – Playing carryovers

1:10 – Playing smaller pools

1:17 – Don’t be afraid to pass

3- Horseplayer Origin Story

13- Handicapping approach

15 – Playing in contests

19 – Playing in the NHC

26 - Choosing which horses to play in NHC

31 - Playing shorter-priced horses in the NHC

38 - The right time to panic at the NHC

40 – Beginning at the end

42 – Playing the final few contest races

46 – Playing mandatory races at the NHC

56 – Playing 2 entries at the NHC

1:10 – Playing to win

1:21 – Pick and Pray contest format

1:26 – Picking the right contest to enter

1:29 – Live betting contests

1:55 – More advice on contests

1:59 – It pays to be organized

3 – Pool Selection

8 – Market liquidity

10 – Living off CAW crumbs

14 – Market efficiency

15 – Betting to win

17 – Directional approach / Bayesian thinking

20 – Fair odds

30 – Is your edge too good to be true?

47 – Betting exacta-ly

53 – Fading favorites

1:02 - Projecting off odds

1:18 – Lessons from the CAW-free NYRA win pool

1:25 – How sports betting differs from parimutuel betting

1:33 – Contest betting

1:42 – Record keeping and pitfalls of back testing

1:48 – Why share insights with fellow players?

1:53 – Advice to new players

3 - What is a computer model?

10- Price discovery/estimation

11- Data with an edge

19 - Seesaw markets

24- Betting horses is like buying a microwave oven

30 - Man vs machine

35- Pools full of data

39 - Race selection – less is more

53 - Benefits of taking a vacation

57- Horizontal challenges

2:30 – Making pace figures

10:00 – Run ups

13:00 – Combining speed and pace figures

15:00 – Sierra Leone or Fierceness?

20:00 – Ground loss

25:00 – GPS measurement

33:00 – Weight

43:00 – Difficult races for making figures

45:00 – Accuracy of speed figures

48:00 – Fastest figure he has ever given

49:00 – Flightline

50:00 – Service and Navarro

55:00- Using figures

58:00 – Track biases

1:05 – Betting

1:09 – Doubles

1:14 – Figure making is getting tougher

1:19 – Hong Kong figures

1:23 – Improving the game

3 - Horseplayer origin story

16 - Making speed figures

26 - Using projection to make figures

31 - Splitting the variant for a day

35 - Projecting figs for 3yos

39 - Shrinking figures

41- Comparing historical figures

44 - Making turf figures

1:00 – Making synth figures

3- BCBC Strategy

6- Minimum Bet Strategy

15- “Value” in a contest

22- 3 reliable winners

33- Risk pyramid

34- Playing Doubles 

37- Playing Exactas

45- The last race

59- How Matt won the BCBC

1:09 – Playing smaller contests

4- “Bettor” Way of Thinking

10- Blackjack or Wheel of Fortune

12- Knowing your opponent

19- Addressing your weaknesses

22- Picking your spots

27- Set a target and play with monopoly money

45- 2>1

1:00 - Looking for Sunday Silence vs Easy Goer

3 – Fed up with US Racing

7- Pivot to Hong Kong

11- HK Basics

15 - HK class system

30- Betting on HK

40- Watching HK Racing

41 – HK Computer Model

58 – Finding edges

1:08 – Trainer intent in HK

1:15 – racing.hkjc.com

1:18 – Jockey behavior

1:20 – What US can learn from HK

1:25 – Open Source Equus Model

3 – Horseplayer Origin Story

10- Building a model from scratch

12- Start by understanding the data

13- The bad data blues

15 – Speed figures

20- Weight matters

37 – The two types of models

42- Building Equus 

53- End of Part 1

2 - Horses for Courses

4 - Factors baked into price

6 - Trip handicapping

7 - Workouts

21 - Making a morning line

23 - Finding an edge

28 - Vertical bets

31 - Horizontal bets

39 - Trifectas

41 - Weak favorites

46 - CAWs and NYRA win pool

59 - Best advice for players

3 - horseplayer origin story

12 - Why Saratoga is a special place

19 - Saratoga Turf Sprints

24 - The one-mile Wilson Chute

30 - Kickback

35 - Saratoga Turf Course

37 - Off tracks

40 - Off-the-turf races

42 - 2yo races

50 - Trusting your gut

53 - Pointing to Saratoga

57- Saratoga class droppers

3- Turf Racing

15 - Synthetic Racing

20 - Vertical Betting

35 - The 4 quadrants of horseplaying

43 - Horizontal Betting

1:11 - Keeping Records

1:16 - Turf Sprints

3 - Horseplayer Origin Story

6 - Intro to The Sheets

15 - Sheet patterns

19 - Condition Handicapping

24 - Why horses sometimes “bounce”

27- Drug Trainers and the “bounce”

30 - The Sheets impact on training methods

34 – Layoff Patterns

46 – Developing horses

1:05 – Finding horses to toss

3- The whip

12- Changing leads

24- The break

25- Kickback

27- 3-wide scenarios

31- Moves

33- Jockeys ride with their legs

35- Prat vs Irad

43- What makes a good rider?

49- Synthetic racing

59- Speed duel

1:02- Rail post

1:04- From bad start to big score

1:07- Race watching process/tools

1:16- Bias

3- Horseplayer Origin Story

14- Value of trips

16- Trips and CAW teams

19- Race watching basics

25- Pace makes the race

29- Dirt vs Turf

33- The fake-fast pace

36- Accordion flow

38- The 2-wide tracking trip

41- The 3-wide stalker

44- Jockey intent

59- Horse comfort

1:11- Gallop out

1:23- Stride cadence

3 – Win bets

9- Place and Show bets

16- Exacta Bets

34- Double key Exactas and tris

39 - $1 min Derby Superfecta Bets

1:00 – Horizontal Bets

1:16 – Pressing a “live” P5 with a P4 or a P3

1:23 – Having a plan and sticking to it

3 – General approach to Derby

8- Finding a key horse or horses

20 – Impact of the Derby Points System

23- Finding the “push button” horse

26 – Getting the Derby Distance

38- Finding signal in all the Derby noise

47- Running styles, post-position, and trips

1:01 – Great Derby rides by Jerry Bailey

1:08 – The dreaded rail post position

1:16 – The Trainer factor

1:32 – Workouts

3- Horseplayer Origin Story

13- Handicapping approach

15:30 – Playing in contests

19:00 – Playing in the NHC

26 - Choosing which horses to play in NHC

31 – Playing shorter-priced horses in the NHC

38- The right time to panic at the NHC

40 – Beginning at the end

42 – Playing the final few contest races

46 – Playing mandatory races at the NHC

56 – Playing 2 entries at the NHC

1:10 – Playing to win

1:21 – Pick and Pray contest format

1:26 – Picking the right contest to enter

1:29 – Live betting contests

1:55 – More advice on contests

1:59 – It pays to be organized

3 - Horseplayer Origin Story

10 - From Harness to thoroughbreds

14 - Watching replays

17 - Rating horses

20 - Making a fair odds line

23 - Bet sizing

27 - Keeping records

30 - Exchange betting

37 - Vulnerable favorites

39 - Finding value

42 - Positive attitude

45 - Pick 6

58 - CAW

1:02 - Why are you playing?

1:04 - Getting started

1:10 - Factors that matter

1:14 - More on bet sizing

1:29 - What is a winning player?

1:33 - “Turning down” a profit

1:35 - Testing your odds line

1:37- Blackjack

1:45 - ADW Promotions

1:49 - Improving the game

3- Horseplayer Origin Story

9- The story of Carson 

13- Scared money

16- “Please Hold All Tickets”

19- Horseplayer’s confession

21- Touts and self confidence

23- Keeping Thoreau Records

26- Tilting at windmills

30- An active body leads to a sharp mind

37- Advice for beginners

40- Conditions matter

43- Kinky handicapping and grass smokers

53- Short stint as a pro player

55- Cleaning up on the new multi-multi

58 – Single-factor wagering

1:00- French Racing

1:21- Playing longshots – exacta as a place bet

1:45- Biggest mistake most players make

1:46- Making a fair-value odds line

1:58- Arcangues

Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 21 "Using a Fair Odds Line" with Kevin Kilroy Sponsored by AmWager:

3 min - Systematic approach to Handicapping

5 - Golden Rule

7 - Kevin's systematic approach

14 - Fair Odds line

26 - Example 1,  Sat 1/6/24, FG 9th

43 - FG 9th Fair Odds Line

50 - Using Will Pays to estimate off odds

59 - Race Selection

1:02 - Example 2, Sat 1/6/2024, FG 10th

1:18 - FG 10th Fair Odds Line

1:32 - Pick-5

1:45 Summary

Kevin's Fair odds lines:

FG 9th:

FG 10th:

3 - Horseplayer Origin Story

24 – Basic Handicapping Approach

29 – Basic Betting Approach

36 – Becoming a better bettor

50 – Handicapping Jockeys

53 – Pick-5 Ticket Structure

59 – Favorite angles to play

1:23 – Paying attention to takeout

1:27 – CAW Teams and Technology in Racing

1:41 – What horse racing can learn from Formula-1

1:47 – No longer swimming in the win pool

1:53 – “Zooming” in during Covid with Dink, ITP and others

2:06 – Racetracks and their customers

4 min: General handicapping approach

9: Friday Dmr Race 7

38: Sat CD Race 7

52: Sat CD Race 8

1:00: Sat CD Race 10

1:04: Sat CD Race 9

1:11: Hawthorne TG Contests 

3 Horseplayer Origin Story

11 Pick-5 and Pick-6 Ticket Structure

19 Clocker reports and maiden races

21 CAW Teams

27 Weak favorites

32 Value

37 Late Odds Changes

41 Favorable changes for Players

43 Dirt racing vs turf racing

49 Carryovers

55 Focusing on one circuit

1:01 Cutback to 7F angle

1:05 Tracking your play

1:06 Maiden Claiming Races

1:12 Improving Racing

1:16 Other “Chestnuts”

1:22 Getting rid of W2-G forms

3 Horseplayer Origin Story

11 Speed and Pace Figures

14 Phony fast horses

29 Finding a Mentor

35 Best Lesson that I ever learned

36 Constructing tickets from the bottom up

40 Ticket Construction

48 Learning from your mistakes

55 Rebates – the good and the bad

1:04 Playing Hong Kong Racing

1:27 Betting Big Days

1:33 False narratives

1:40 Competing with the CAW teams

1:50 Keeping tickets tight and going for the kill

2:09 Playing horizontals

2:22 Biggest mistake most players make 

2:24 How to improve racing

7:25 Horseplayer Origin story

14:45 Using Beyer speed figures

16:00 Winning enough money to pay to park 

18:30 Leveraging a big edge

24:00 Beyer speed figure team

25:00 Spend a Buck 

30:30 Playing horseplayer chess

35:30 Penn Derby Contest

42:00 Contest Play

51:00 Sports Betting

58:00 Big jump up horses (Spun to Run)

1:08 Using P3, P4 will pays

1:15 Race Selection / finding an edge

1:22 Preparation

1:24 DQ’s

5:30 - General ticket structure 

15:30 - Dealing with spread races

23:00 – Race 4 (start of P4)

26:00 – Race 5 (2nd leg of P4)

31:00 – Race 6 (3rd leg of P4)

41:00 – Race 7 (final leg of P4)

55:30 – Detailed P4 ticket Structure

1:07 – Taking on the CAW Teams 

1:11 – Dealing with dry spells

1:15 – ROI vs “making a living”

1:20 – Unfair treatment of Canadian players

1:22 – Race 8

1:28 – Race 9 WO Mile

1:44 – Race 12

7 – Horseplayer Origin story

21- Handicapping approach

35 – 1-Start horses

44- Focus on Kentucky Tracks / Turfway 

51- Win bets and doubles

1:00 – Why losers lose

1:07 – CAW Teams and Rebates

1:19 – Bet Sizing

1:25 – Keeping it simple 

1:30 – Tracking your results

1:40 – Turf racing

1:45 – Trip Notes

1:50 – Good days / Bad days

1:56 – Biggest Mistake that many players make

1:59 – Biggest Lesson Learned

2:04 – How to improve the game

2:07 – Memorable Score

4- Origin Story

14- Handicapping vs gambling

28 – Assessing favorites

35 – Can’t lose favorites

42 – The most important rule in betting

47 – The rebate pitfall

49 – 1/3/11 the prime betting ratio

59 – (The Field Size/2)-1 vertical bet rule

1:02 – Vulnerable favorites

1:08 – Sometimes a no bet is a bad bet

1:11 – Horizontal bets 

1:17 – Keying a horse

1:22 – Competing with the CAWs

1:40 – Vertical Bets

1:48 – Pick-6

1:53 – Pick-5

2:05 – The Thorpe CAW approach

2:12 – HISA (and Lasix) impact 

2:24 – Hong Kong Racing

2:33 – Fixed Odds

2:35 – Carryovers

2:39 – Big Days

2:42 – Path to success for today’s player

3:19 – Christopher Larmey – Intro: What is value? 

8:30 – Maury Wolff – Understanding your edge

28 – Michael Kipness – Making a value Line

33:20 – Mike Maloney – Building on low a variance bet

44 – ITP – A weak favorite is your best friend

57 – Jonathan Stettin – Betting your opinion

1:04 – Marshall Gramm – Inside out approach

1:09:50 – Dennis Montoro – Turning a horse race into a math problem

3 - Origin story

17 - Making performance figures 

19 - A little help from your friends

27 - When bias is a good thing

32 - GP Tapeta

34 - Changing circuits 

38 - Putting the time in

41 - Handicapping approach

44 - Vertical bet structure

52 - Betting Example

57 - Key horse / vulnerable favorite combo

1:02 - Tossing vulnerable favorite

1:06 - Keeping it tight

1:08 - Pool selection/allocation

1:11 - Race Selection

1:14 - Factoring in other opinions

1:21 - Contest play

1:38 - CAW

1:47 - Owning horses

2:00 - Memorable score with Mom 

3 – Origin story 

7:30 – Birth of Beyer Figures

11:30 – How to crush the races for almost 20 years

19:30 – Punching a hole in the wall of the GP press box

22:20 – Knowing when you have an edge and when you don’t

26:36 – Playing the “traditional” P6

32:00 – Jackpot P6 – the worst bet in racing

38:30 – Cashing in on track biases and trainer patterns

41:30 – Focus on the big score

43:30 – Form your opinion then target pools and not vice versa

46:00 – Attacking a vulnerable favorite

47:40 – Leveraging a value horse

49:20 – Is Andy going to write another book?

52:10 – How to improve racing

1 – Origin story 

11:30 – Power of the tote

24 – If It’s in the PPs, then it’s in the price

33 – No model is perfect

43:30 – One size doesn’t fit all

48 – Win/Ex/DD focus

53:50 – Sports betting

56 – It all boils down to math

1:00 – CAW teams

1:07 – Race Selection

1:11:30 – Journal, records, and learning

1:26 – No edge lasts forever, even in models

1:33 – Fixed odds

1:39 – Cash Contests

1:49 – Advice for aspiring modelers

2:01 – Making racing better

2:10 – Memorable score 

1 – Origin story (Harnessing his way toward Thoroughbreds)

10 – Out with the old edges

28 – In with the new edges 

41 – Japanese rising

45 – Finding a niche

51 – The 9 best pools to bet

58 – Carpe diem

1:00 – Fixed odds

1:08 – Competing with CAW teams

1:37 – Big race days

1:47 – The Triple Crown can be your friend

1:55 – Beyond picking winners

2:05 – Casino games

2:12 – Finding value in efficient markets

2:19 – Lessons learned

2:28 – How to improve the game

1 – Origin story

46 – Life Changing Big Score

1:15 – Pool Selection and Bet Construction 

1:20 –Betting vs the CAW Teams

1:25 – Vertical Bets (Using all button in 3rd or 4th)

1:30 – P5

1:37 – Handling the Mental Challenges

1:42 – Identifying Value in today’s game

1:48 – Carryovers

1:51 – Rebates

1:52 – Sports Betting

1:55 – Lessons Learned

2:00 – State of the Game

1 – Origin story

11 – Developing Discipline

13 – P4 

16 – Big Day Cards including the Derby

31 – P6

42 – Win/Exacta (no box zone)

51 – “Cowboy Style"

57 – Trust your gut

1:16 – DD/P3

1:23 – Jon’s “Tell”

1:28 – Fixed Odds

1:32 – Rebates

1:35 – Carryovers

1:37 – Don’t be a degenerate

1:40 – Reading PPs from bottom up

1:42 – Watching replays

1:49 – Bias

1:54 – Euro racing

1:59 – Poker/Chess

2:06 – Cash less to win more

2:12 – Inside info on CAWs

2:20 – Hong Kong Model

2:26 – Memorable Score

1 – Origin story

26 – Changing with the game

41 – What’s my edge 

45 – Leveraging edge while reducing variance

51:30 – Daily limit and bet sizing

55:50 – Guardrails

1:06 – Inside out bet construction

1:19 – Verticals

1:26 – Horizontals

1:33 – Rebates, pricing, and decreasing handle

1:52 – Tote Security issues 

2:26 – Improving the racing product

2:34 – Fixed Odds

2:44 – Promoting racing

2:49 – Carryovers

2:57 – Big day cards

3:01 – Betting the Derby

3:09 – Can’t stand prosperity

3:12 – General advice for players

3:28 – “Visible” winners

3:33 – Real-time Bet Example

Highlights/timestamp:

1:30 – Origin story

9:40 – Fearless Betting

21:40 – Verticals 

43 – Horizontals

56 – Combo Usage

1:18 – Spread races

1:38 – Basket of bets

1:56 – Carryovers

2:05 – “Game” Selection

2:21 – Gambling Theory

2:24 - Tournaments

Here is a highlights/timestamp:

1:30 – Matt’s horseplayer origin story

11:00 – Chris’s golf/racing analogy

13:00 – What Matt learned from “Rain Man”

25:30 – Contests and Goal oriented play

35:00 – Detailed NYRA Tourney Strategy

56:00 – BCBC Win Story

1:11 – Rebates

1:22 – Carryovers

1:26 – CAWs

1:43 – Bankroll budgeting

1:59 – Prize structure strategy

2:06:30- Making Racing Better

Highlights/timestamp:

3:30 Hammer’s origin story 

15:00 3 C’s of Leadership

35:00 Walkthrough big P5 score at SA

55:00 CAWs

1:14 Beating book with some big scores

1:38 Betting Hong Kong races

2:11 Building a P4 Pyramid ticket

Highlights/timestamp:

3:30 – Marshall’s horseplayer origin story

8:50 – Targeting “lower variance” dirt route races

13:50 – Win-centric “inside out” betting

20:50 – Keying a longshot underneath in tris and supers

22:45 – Bet sizing

35 – Targeting “big days”

46 – The “hot hand” in racing

49 – Rebates and takeout

53 – The Pick-5 is hard 

55 – Carryovers

56:30 – CAWs

1:07 – Record Keeping

1:12 – Over spreading

1:13 – Bet example